Will the U.S. CDC officially recommend reclassifying Grade Group 1 prostate cancer as a precancerous condition by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Medicaid enrollment in Illinois, as reported by the Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services, decreases by more than 10% from its current figures by December 31, 2027.

This market resolves to Yes if a wearable smart patch designed to automatically deliver aid during a fentanyl overdose receives FDA approval by December 31, 2026. If the FDA does not approve such a device by this date, it resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the National Institutes of Health (NIH) officially implements the proposed changes to their grant review process, as described in recent news, by February 28, 2027. The changes involve moving away from transparent numerical scores to a few broad categories like 'Most competitive', 'Competitive', and 'Not discussed'.

Will the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services propose new federal guidelines for midwifery care by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if no rural hospitals in Michigan close due to financial difficulties by August 2027, as publicly reported. Closures must be attributed to financial issues such as declining reimbursement rates, rising costs, or declining patient numbers.

Will the U.S. repeal the future Medicaid spending cuts by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Congress passes legislation to repeal the future Medicaid spending cuts as outlined in recent debates, by December 31, 2026.