Will a U.S. federal cryptocurrency market structure bill be passed by September 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Pepeto, an Ethereum-based cryptocurrency, is officially listed on at least one tier-1 cryptocurrency exchange by November 30, 2026. Tier-1 exchanges are defined as those with significant market reach and high trading volume, such as Binance, Coinbase, or Kraken.

This market resolves to Yes if the Moonberg $MBX token price exceeds $1.50 within one month after its official market debut.

This market resolves to Yes if the Crypto Clarity Act, strongly endorsed by President Trump, is passed by Congress on or before November 1, 2026. The act is expected to have significant implications for the crypto market. If no official congressional passage is announced by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly acknowledged event where Bitcoin's cryptographic security is verified as compromised by quantum computing technology.

This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.