Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Crypto Markets
70% chanceWill a US-based institution face enforcement action under the new MiCA regulation by July 31, 2026?
Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high of $69,000 or above by August 31, 2026?
Will there be a publicly disclosed quantum-related cryptographic breach in the US by August 31, 2026?
Will Pepeto be listed on a top 5 cryptocurrency exchange by September 30, 2026?
Will a U.S. federal cryptocurrency market structure bill be passed by September 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.
This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.
Will the Pharos Network launch its mainnet with TopNod's self-custodial infrastructure by September 30, 2026?
Will Mutuum Finance (MUTM) reach Phase 10 pricing tier by the end of 2026?
Will Pepeto's cross chain bridge achieve a daily transaction volume of 500,000 by the end of 2026?
Will the total market cap of crypto surpass $2 trillion by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.
Will the global crypto market cap recover to $4 trillion by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the total value of crypto-backed mortgages (using Bitcoin or USDC as collateral) issued by Better Home & Finance, tied to Fannie Mae-backed mortgages, exceeds $100 million by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official financial reports or statements released by Better Home & Finance or reputable financial news sources.