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This market resolves to Yes if the Senate Judiciary Committee formally issues a subpoena to Donald Trump Jr. on or before November 30, 2026, as publicly reported by credible news sources or official Senate records. If no such subpoena is issued by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

42% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2026, the federal lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice against the Kansas City school system regarding transgender student policies is resolved in favor of the plaintiffs. Any official court ruling or settlement agreement that supports the plaintiffs' case and changes the current policies will qualify as a resolution in favor of the plaintiffs.

42% chance
Markets

Will the U.S. and Iran sign a nuclear deal by May 1, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to 'Yes' if an official and publicly acknowledged nuclear agreement is signed between the United States and Iran by May 1, 2026. Official sources, such as government announcements or credible news agencies reporting the signing, will be used to determine the outcome.

Rules

  • Market closes at 5/1/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.