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This market resolves to Yes if the global online grocery market grows by at least 10% in 2027 according to the reports from major market research firms such as Statista, Euromonitor, or equivalent. Official reports typically provide growth rates based on the comparison of gross merchandise volume or total sales from one fiscal year to another.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Ukraine receives additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026. Confirmation should be from an official U.S. or Ukrainian government statement or credible news source.

60% chance
Markets

Will U.S.-Iran tensions de-escalate with a formal ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if an official and public ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran is announced and verified by credible international news outlets by April 30, 2026. The resolution criteria include verification from major news sources such as CNN, BBC, or Reuters confirming the ceasefire is active.

Rules

  • Market closes at 4/30/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.