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This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. federal agency (e.g., the Federal Trade Commission or Department of Justice) publicly announces a formal antitrust investigation into McDonald's AI-driven dynamic pricing practices by December 31, 2026. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the European Union officially announces a new policy or directive specifically addressing or incentivizing 'truly circular' chemical processes (like the one reportedly implemented in Croatia) by February 28, 2027. Any general circular economy policies that do not explicitly cover 'truly circular' chemical processing will not count for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the next Big I Agency Universe Study, expected in 2027, reports that at least 80% of surveyed independent insurance agencies experienced revenue growth from 2025 to 2026. The study historically provides publicly available results detailing revenue trends for the industry.
This market resolves to Yes if Indiana announces and implements an increase in property tax rates specifically targeted at businesses by December 31, 2027. Official announcements from the Indiana state government or related legislative updates will serve as the resolution criteria.
Will U.S. retail sales experience a growth of at least 1.0% in August 2026 according to the Census Bureau report?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Census Bureau reports an increase of at least 1.0% in retail sales for August 2026 compared to July 2026. The report release is scheduled around mid-September 2026.
Rules
- Market closes at 9/15/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in Business
Will McDonald's face a federal antitrust investigation over AI-driven pricing by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. federal agency (e.g., the Federal Trade Commission or Department of Justice) publicly announces a formal antitrust investigation into McDonald's AI-driven dynamic pricing practices by December 31, 2026. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
Will the EU finalize a policy on 'truly circular' chemical processes by February 28, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if the European Union officially announces a new policy or directive specifically addressing or incentivizing 'truly circular' chemical processes (like the one reportedly implemented in Croatia) by February 28, 2027. Any general circular economy policies that do not explicitly cover 'truly circular' chemical processing will not count for resolution.
Will at least 80% of independent insurance agencies report revenue growth for 2025-2026 in the next Big I Agency Universe Study?
This market resolves to Yes if the next Big I Agency Universe Study, expected in 2027, reports that at least 80% of surveyed independent insurance agencies experienced revenue growth from 2025 to 2026. The study historically provides publicly available results detailing revenue trends for the industry.
Will Indiana increase property tax rates for businesses by December 31, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if Indiana announces and implements an increase in property tax rates specifically targeted at businesses by December 31, 2027. Official announcements from the Indiana state government or related legislative updates will serve as the resolution criteria.
Will the Disney FCC lawsuit result in a change to their station license renewal process by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, as a result of the lawsuit Disney filed against the FCC, there is any official change announced regarding the renewal process of Disney's station licenses. It resolves to No if no such change is announced before that date.
Will Disney's First Amendment lawsuit against the FCC be resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.