Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if no rural hospitals in Michigan close due to financial difficulties by August 2027, as publicly reported. Closures must be attributed to financial issues such as declining reimbursement rates, rising costs, or declining patient numbers.
This market resolves to Yes if any company or research organization publicly announces a commercial application utilizing quantum entanglement created by sunlight, by August 1, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a confirmed increase in attendance of at least 25% at the 2027 American Numismatic Association convention compared to the 2026 attendance, attributed to the introduction of pop culture-themed numismatic products.
This market resolves to Yes if, by August 13, 2027, the hypothesis that black holes older than the Big Bang explain dark matter is widely accepted by the scientific community, as reflected in recognized scientific consensus publications and statements by major scientific organizations.
This market resolves to Yes if 'Stuart Fails To Save The Universe' wins an Emmy at the 2027 Emmy Awards, and No if it does not.
Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.
Automated predictive market for Culture sector.
This market resolves to Yes if a peer-reviewed scientific paper or a public announcement reports a new precise value of the gravitational constant (Big G) with improved accuracy (e.g., a smaller uncertainty) compared to current known experimental results by September 30, 2027. The announcement must be made by a credible organization such as NIST, a major university, or a prominent journal like Nature or Science. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
This market resolves to Yes if a commercially available product using the newly synthesized 'impossible' nanocrystals from metal nitrides is released by any company by December 31, 2027. The product must be publicly acknowledged and available for purchase.
This market resolves to Yes if Japan starts commercial-scale ocean-floor mining operations by December 31, 2027. Verification will be based on official announcements from the Japanese government or credible industry sources confirming the commencement of commercial mining activities.
This market resolves to Yes if Stellantis launches an electric vehicle in any European market incorporating Chinese EV technology by December 31, 2027. The vehicle must be publicly advertised and available for sale within this timeframe.
This market resolves to Yes if a swarm of drones is publicly confirmed by a recognized space agency or private space exploration company to have been deployed to explore a planetary body (such as a planet, moon, or asteroid) in our solar system by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from official sources, such as a press release or statement.
This market resolves to Yes if Indiana announces and implements an increase in property tax rates specifically targeted at businesses by December 31, 2027. Official announcements from the Indiana state government or related legislative updates will serve as the resolution criteria.
This market resolves to Yes if Huawei's new AI chip is reported by a reputable source to capture over 25% of NVIDIA's AI chip market share in China by December 31, 2027. The determination will be based on market analysis reports from tech industry watchers such as IDC, Gartner, or similar sources.
This market resolves to Yes if any AI-designed intrabodies are used in clinical trials for Alzheimer's, Parkinson's, or Motor Neurone Disease by December 31, 2027. To confirm resolution, announcements from reputable research institutions or clinical trial registries will be used.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a published scientific study or official report by a recognized organization confirming that the integration of space-based observations of vegetation and soil moisture has led to improved air quality forecasts specifically in agricultural regions by December 31, 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if a humanoid robot achieves a time faster than the current 200-meter sprint world record by December 31, 2027. The current record for humans is 19.19 seconds, set by Usain Bolt in 2009. Verification will be based on reports from recognized international athletic and robotics competitions.
This market resolves to Yes if Arm Holdings' new in-house AI chip generates at least $15 billion in revenue annually by December 31, 2027, as verified by the company's official financial statements or credible third-party financial analysis.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2027, a commercially available solar cell uses the electron 'catapult' mechanism demonstrated by physicists for charge transfer. The resolution will be based on announcements from solar cell manufacturers or verified reports in reputable scientific or technology news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if a new federal regulation concerning name, image, and likeness (NIL) rights is enacted that directly affects existing college football policies by December 31, 2027. The rule must be established at the federal level and have an impact on college football governance or athlete eligibility within the United States.
This market resolves to Yes if the sequel to 'How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days', produced by Kate Hudson and starring Matthew McConaughey, premieres on Paramount+ by December 31, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No.