Markets

Will the enhanced Bank of America Stadium host the NFL Draft or a Super Bowl by 2028?

This market resolves to Yes if the enhanced Bank of America Stadium hosts either the NFL Draft or a Super Bowl prior to January 1, 2028. The resolution will be based on official announcements or events occurring by that date.

This market resolves to Yes if official industry reports confirm that PC gaming revenue exceeds console gaming revenue by December 31, 2027. This can be verified through reports from reputable industry analysts and financial data published by entities such as Newzoo, Deloitte, or PricewaterhouseCoopers.

This market resolves to Yes if an official report states that the global average temperature has reached or exceeded 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by December 31, 2027. This is based on data from leading climate monitoring organizations such as NASA, NOAA, or the IPCC.

This market resolves to Yes if Codelco's officially reported copper production for 2027 reaches or exceeds 1.37 million tons, as confirmed by an official statement or report from Codelco.

This market resolves to Yes if the global online grocery market grows by at least 10% in 2027 according to the reports from major market research firms such as Statista, Euromonitor, or equivalent. Official reports typically provide growth rates based on the comparison of gross merchandise volume or total sales from one fiscal year to another.

This market resolves to Yes if Conagra successfully completes the $220 million expansion of its Fayetteville Manufacturing Site by March 31, 2028. Completion will be confirmed if Conagra officially announces the completion of the site expansion by this date. The expansion is expected to create more than 100 jobs over the next five years.

This market resolves to Yes if 'The Batman Part II' surpasses $1 billion in worldwide box office revenue before or on March 31, 2028. The performance will be assessed based on publicly available box office data from reputable sources.

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Getty Center in Los Angeles reopens to the public by May 1, 2028, as per official announcements. The Getty Center has planned renovations, aiming to reopen ahead of the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics.

This market resolves to Yes if Major League Baseball (MLB) players participate in the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, despite potential disruptions from a work stoppage in 2027 as discussed by the new union head. The market will resolve on the opening day of the 2028 Olympics based on official participation announcements.

This market resolves to Yes if the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts officially reopens following its two-year reconstruction project by or before July 31, 2028. Verification will be based on an official announcement or news report confirming the reopening.

This market resolves to Yes if the National Science Foundation announces the continuation or expansion of their new Ph.D. model program by August 1, 2028, indicating it has met or exceeded its objectives outlined in the pilot phase.

This market resolves to Yes if scientific endeavors successfully grow and harvest chickpeas on the Moon using lunar soil simulant by December 31, 2028. Confirmation must come from an official report or statement by a recognized space agency or scientific body.

This market resolves to Yes if, by the end of 2028, a drug developed using an ultrafast quantum chemistry engine, like EXESS, receives FDA approval. The development must be significantly attributed to this technology, as noted in reputable scientific or industry publications.

This market resolves to Yes if definitive data or a major international climate authority confirms that global carbon emissions have peaked and started to decline before January 1, 2029. The data must be widely recognized and reported in respected climate science publications or by organizations like the United Nations or the International Energy Agency.

This market resolves to Yes if the African Development Bank's Sustainable Energy Fund for Africa (SEFA) achieves $2.5 billion in financing by December 31, 2028. Confirmation will be based on official announcements or financial reports from the African Development Bank or verified news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if any national Olympic committee formally announces its withdrawal from the 2030 Winter Olympics, explicitly citing sportswashing concerns, by December 31, 2028. Official announcements must be verified by reputable sources such as major news outlets or the involved committee's official communications. If no such announcement is made by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Metro Bank reports a return on tangible equity of at least 18% in its annual financial statements for the year ending 2028. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial reports released by Metro Bank for the fiscal year 2028.

This market resolves to Yes if a scientific mission officially reports the successful growth of chickpeas on the lunar surface under controlled experimental conditions by December 31, 2028. The results must be publicly announced by a credible space agency or scientific organization.

This market resolves to Yes if the European Union's IRIS² secure satellite communication system becomes operational before January 1, 2029. This would be confirmed by a public announcement from the European Union or relevant space authorities. The original timeline for the system's launch was set for 2030, and any earlier launch would indicate an acceleration in the timeline.

This market resolves to Yes if Team GB wins a gold medal in men's curling at the 2030 Winter Olympics. If Team GB does not win the gold medal by the end of the 2030 Winter Olympics, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the average summer temperature in Greenland exceeds 10°C for June through August, as recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute, by the end of 2030.

This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports from the International Olympic Committee or similar authoritative bodies, more than 75% of the potential Winter Olympics host locations identified in a pre-2030 study require machine-made snow to meet the conditions for holding the Games by December 31, 2030.

Will the U.S. Census Bureau include a citizenship question in the official 2030 Census?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Census Bureau officially adopts a citizenship question in the 2030 Census enumeration form. Confirmation must come from an official announcement or documentation from the Bureau by the resolution date.

This market resolves to Yes if there are credible reports or official data showing that electricity demand from AI-optimized data centers has quadrupled by the year 2030 compared to 2026 levels.