Markets

Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.

This market resolves to Yes if ESPN publicly announces another round of layoffs specifically tied to its April 2026 NFL Network acquisition by September 30, 2026. Relevant announcements could be made through official ESPN communication channels, press releases, or credible news sources. If no such announcement is made by the closing date, the market resolves to No.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the official count of missing persons in Nepal's flash floods rises to over 4,000 as reported by a reputable international or local news agency by September 30, 2026.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Stanford Medicine or another reputable institution publicly confirms that the AI-discovered molecule, which mimics the effects of Ozempic without the side effects, receives approval to commence clinical trials by September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on announcements from institutions, regulatory bodies, or credible science news sources.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if verified reports confirm that a cyberattack attributed to Iran causes significant disruptions to critical infrastructure within the United States, such as the power grid, water supply, or major communication networks, by September 30, 2026. Significant disruption is defined as causing service outages or operational challenges lasting more than 24 hours. The determination of the cyberattack's origin and impact will be based on official sources and reports from credible cyber security agencies.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court issues a ruling by September 30, 2026, allowing the Trump administration's order targeting mail-in voting to proceed. Otherwise, it resolves to No.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the US Congress formally proposes a national framework to regulate artificial intelligence by September 30, 2026. The proposal must be an official piece of legislation specifically addressing AI regulation, announced by either the House of Representatives or the Senate.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the iPhone 18 Pro, announced by Apple in 2026, includes a redesign of the Dynamic Island display feature. The resolution will be based on official announcements from Apple or verified visual evidence of the iPhone 18 Pro design as presented during its launch event or via credible reports.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $80,000 on any official cryptocurrency exchange by October 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC. The price verification will be based on reputable sources like CoinMarketCap or Binance pricing data. If the price does not reach or exceed $80,000 by this date, the market resolves to No.

50% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if John Schreiber's ERA is below 4.00 at the conclusion of the 2026 MLB regular season. It resolves to 'No' otherwise. Official MLB statistics will be used for resolution.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the Boston Red Sox finish with a higher position than the New York Yankees in the American League East standings at the end of the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. If the Red Sox finish in the same position or below the Yankees, the market resolves to No. Official MLB standings will be used to determine the outcome.

Ends Oct 1

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Oakland Athletics player Nick Kurtz achieves an on-base streak greater than 48 games during the 2026 Major League Baseball season. The resolution is based on official MLB statistics.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Universal Health Services successfully completes the acquisition of the virtual behavioral healthcare company Talkspace by October 1, 2026, as announced in the news. The resolution will be based on official announcements confirming the acquisition’s completion.

75% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Iron Maiden officially announces a new tour by October 1, 2026, that prominently features multimedia integrations tied to Pophouse Entertainment’s recent stake in Iron Maiden's publishing, master recordings, and image rights. Such integrations could include branded concert visuals, collaborations with video games, or other Pophouse-owned media.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Blake Lively reaches a settlement in her lawsuit against WME regarding the alleged retaliatory campaign by October 1, 2026. A Yes resolution will be confirmed if there are credible public reports or statements from either party indicating a settlement agreement.

60% chance

NBA - Miami Heat (0-0) at Toronto Raptors (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-03T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401902644]

VS
50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the L.A. Metro Monthly Safety Tracker, launched to provide safety data across the Metro system, reports a 10% or greater decrease in incidents, compared to the March 2026 data, by its September 2026 report.

55% chance

NBA - Utah Jazz (0-0) at Denver Nuggets (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-04T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401914127]

VS
50% chance

NBA - Golden State Warriors (0-0) at LA Clippers (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-04T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401918010]

VS
50% chance

NBA - New York Knicks (0-0) at Philadelphia 76ers (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-05T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401914101]

VS
53% chance

NBA - Phoenix Suns (0-0) at Detroit Pistons (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-05T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401908947]

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50% chance

NBA - Memphis Grizzlies (0-0) at Atlanta Hawks (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-05T23:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401898388]

VS
50% chance

NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves (0-0) at Milwaukee Bucks (0-0) Tipoff: 2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z [NBAGame:401914102]

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50% chance