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This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, as a result of the lawsuit Disney filed against the FCC, there is any official change announced regarding the renewal process of Disney's station licenses. It resolves to No if no such change is announced before that date.

30% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

40% chance
Markets

Will Amazon announce the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project by August 31, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon publicly announces the groundbreaking of its Dog's Head project in Southeast Austin by August 31, 2026. Official statements, press releases, or reputable media coverage will be used to determine the outcome. If no such announcement occurs by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.