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This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Census Bureau reports an increase of at least 1.0% in retail sales for August 2026 compared to July 2026. The report release is scheduled around mid-September 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Bally's secures new financing through equity sales, asset monetization, or other means by the end of 2026 to ensure its continued operations. This includes any publicly announced financing agreements that are finalized and deemed sufficient by financial analysts and the company itself to overcome its financial difficulties.
This market resolves to Yes if any public relations firm publicly reports a market share increase of at least 5% due to digital PR strategies by December 2026. Market share increases must be based on data from a third-party research firm or financial disclosures.
This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.
Will Amazon successfully complete a $25 billion bond sale by July 31, 2026?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if Amazon completes the sale of $25 billion in bonds, as reported by a credible financial news outlet or confirmed in Amazon's official announcements, by July 31, 2026. The sale must be explicitly finalized and publicly confirmed by this date to count as resolved.
Rules
- Market closes at 7/31/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in Business
Will U.S. retail sales experience a growth of at least 1.0% in August 2026 according to the Census Bureau report?
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Census Bureau reports an increase of at least 1.0% in retail sales for August 2026 compared to July 2026. The report release is scheduled around mid-September 2026.
Will Bally's secure the necessary financing to continue operations by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Bally's secures new financing through equity sales, asset monetization, or other means by the end of 2026 to ensure its continued operations. This includes any publicly announced financing agreements that are finalized and deemed sufficient by financial analysts and the company itself to overcome its financial difficulties.
Will digital PR growth lead to a significant increase in market share for any PR firm by December 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if any public relations firm publicly reports a market share increase of at least 5% due to digital PR strategies by December 2026. Market share increases must be based on data from a third-party research firm or financial disclosures.
Will U.S. discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpass that of higher-income Americans in September 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.
Will Disney's plan to turn Disney+ into a comprehensive membership ecosystem show a 10% increase in active subscribers by Q1 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if Disney+ shows an increase of at least 10% in active subscribers in their first quarterly report of 2027, following the implementation of their new membership ecosystem plan. Relevant subscription numbers must be released by Disney in an official earnings report.
Will the Australian big tech fee result in increased funding for local news outlets by November 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by November 2026, there is a verifiable report from a reputable source confirming that the increased big tech fee introduced by Australia has resulted in increased funding for local news outlets.