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This market resolves to Yes if the Senate Judiciary Committee formally issues a subpoena to Donald Trump Jr. on or before November 30, 2026, as publicly reported by credible news sources or official Senate records. If no such subpoena is issued by the deadline, this market resolves to No.

42% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2026, the federal lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice against the Kansas City school system regarding transgender student policies is resolved in favor of the plaintiffs. Any official court ruling or settlement agreement that supports the plaintiffs' case and changes the current policies will qualify as a resolution in favor of the plaintiffs.

42% chance
Markets

Will congressional action prevent a government shutdown over immigration policies by March 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if by March 1, 2026, Congress passes legislation to prevent a government shutdown that specifically addresses the current immigration policies under debate, including the appropriation of funds for homeland security. The market resolves to No if no such legislation is passed, resulting in a government shutdown, by the end of February 29, 2026.

Rules

  • Market closes at 3/1/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.