Markets
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
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About this market
A hotter PPI report has investors rethinking how restrictive the Fed will be through the rest of 2026. Resolves according to the exact number of 25 basis point Fed rate hikes in 2026, including any December meeting hike and any emergency hikes before year-end.
Rules
- Market closes December 31, 2026 (ET).
- This is a multi-outcome market. All outcome probabilities sum to 100%.
- One outcome will be selected as the winner at resolution.
Other open markets in Business
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
Dec 10 @ 4:59 AM
Will Anthropic's valuation hit $1.75T by December 31?
Anthropic’s reported IPO demand has investors focused on how high the company’s valuation can go before year-end. Resolves Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports an Anthropic private-market valuation at or above $1.75 trillion on any date through December 31, 2026, otherwise resolves No.
Will Super Micro lower its Q2 sales forecast by December 31?
Super Micro guided fiscal Q2 2027 net sales to $19.5 billion to $21.5 billion, but investors are watching for signs of weaker revenue conversion. Resolves Yes if the company lowers or withdraws that fiscal Q2 sales outlook by December 31, 2026.
Will DC's ticket resale caps be blocked on January 1?
D.C.'s RESALE Act is scheduled to start applying on January 1, 2027, while resale platforms are asking a federal judge to stop enforcement. Resolves Yes if, at the start of January 1, 2027, a court order is in effect that blocks D.C. from enforcing the Act's resale price cap or resale marketplace fee cap against the plaintiffs or generally.
Will a major retailer match Woot's $469 Switch 2 by November 30?
Woot listed a new standalone Switch 2 for $469, but it is unclear whether larger retailers will follow with a true console discount. Resolves Yes if Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, Target, GameStop, or the U.S. Nintendo Store advertises a new standalone Nintendo Switch 2 console for $469.00 or less from November 22 through November 30.
Will Nintendo Store sell out of the Switch 2 bundle by December 5?
Nintendo's official Black Friday Switch 2 + Mario Kart World bundle starts November 22 and is advertised as available while supplies last. Resolves Yes if the U.S. Nintendo Store shows the advertised bundle as sold out or unavailable to buy due to inventory at any point from November 22 through December 5.