Will Microsoft confirm the Windows 11 price increase for PC manufacturers by September 20, 2026?

Will Google DeepMind close the AI performance gap with OpenAI by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a credible and widely recognized source, such as a major tech publication or an industry report, confirms that Google DeepMind's AI models match or exceed the performance of comparable models from OpenAI by December 31, 2026.

Will a major U.S. state sue another Big Tech company over child safety concerns by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any major U.S. state government files a lawsuit against another major Big Tech company (e.g., Google, Apple, Amazon, etc.) over child safety concerns by December 31, 2026. A major state is defined as being among the top 10 by population according to the most recent census data.

This market resolves to Yes if all areas of Kaynor Tech, including the gymnasium and other affected spaces, are reported as available for use by October 15, 2026. This includes spaces that were impacted by the water main breaks, such as the gymnasium and interior hallways requiring wall or flooring repairs.

Will Alphabet return to positive cash flow by the end of Q3 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Alphabet reports positive cash flow for Q3 2026 in its earnings release. Alphabet experienced its first-ever negative cash flow in a recent quarter due to increased spending on AI and cloud technologies. The result will be determined when Alphabet releases its Q3 2026 earnings, typically in late October.

Will the iPhone 18 Pro sell out by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Yes if apple.com lists the iPhone 18 Pro as sold out, or quotes ship dates later than September 30, 2026 for every Pro configuration, at any point between preorders opening and this market closing.

Will Microsoft announce plans to transition from ChatGPT and Claude to Kimi K3 by August 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Microsoft officially announces, via press release, earnings call, or a similar credible public communication, that it plans to replace both ChatGPT and Claude with China's Kimi K3 for AI-related or operational purposes by August 31, 2026. Any unofficial statements, leaks, or rumors will not determine resolution. The resolution source must be verifiable.