Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Tech Markets
Will the PACE Satellite detect a new significant air pollution source in a major city by the end of 2026?
Will NASA announce a new detailed finding about Jupiter's core by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a company publicly announces and demonstrates a fully autonomous AI-driven kitchen robot capable of preparing meals without human intervention. The announcement must be verifiable by major technology or science publications.
Will a pulsar be confirmed near the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way by the end of 2026?
Will Microsoft's new glass data storage method be publicly demonstrated by the end of 2026?
Will Google's Gemini 3 surpass GPT-4 in benchmark tests by the end of 2026?
Will the breakthrough pancreatic cancer therapy advance to human clinical trials by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, NASA's Juno mission announces the discovery of a new feature in Jupiter's atmosphere through official NASA publications or press releases. The feature must be a previously unobserved characteristic or phenomenon distinct from existing knowledge.
Will India produce its first domestically designed semiconductor chip by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a published report or announcement verifies that a quantum chemistry calculation has been performed significantly faster than previously recorded times, using a new or updated software package developed before the end of 2026. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as scientific publications, company press releases, or other authoritative announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.
This market resolves to Yes if a major video game publisher publicly announces that a new game will feature entirely AI-generated content with no human involvement in its creation by December 31, 2026. The game must be backed by a well-known publisher such as EA, Ubisoft, or Activision, and the announcement must be verified by credible sources.
Will the revival of Thomas Edison's nickel-iron battery gain commercial use by March 2027?
Will a nearby pulsar be confirmed at the center of the Milky Way by May 2027?
Automated predictive market for Politics sector.
Automated predictive market for Crypto sector.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.