Will Nintendo say Ocarina of Time sold 10 million copies by December 31?

Will Xbox cloud gaming have a GTA VI outage on November 19?

Xbox says GTA VI cloud streaming is scheduled to open at 1:00 a.m. ET on November 19, with huge launch demand expected. Resolves Yes if Microsoft or Xbox officially reports an Xbox Cloud Gaming outage or degraded service affecting GTA VI streaming during the first 12 hours after the scheduled start.

Virgin Media O2 said GTA VI pre-loading set its biggest-ever broadband traffic peak and highest-ever daily data volume on November 10. Resolves Yes if Virgin Media O2 publicly states by November 21, 2026 that GTA VI launch-week traffic exceeded that November 10 record for either peak broadband traffic or daily broadband data volume; restatements of the already announced pre-load record do not count.

GTA VI pre-loads have already driven ISP traffic records and localized congestion, but launch week could create a wider network-management problem. Resolves Yes if, from November 12 through November 23, 2026, at least two separate broadband ISPs or console network operators publicly state that GTA VI traffic caused congestion, degraded speeds, throttling or staging, paused downloads, traffic rebalancing, or capacity constraints; earlier November 10-11 reports, traffic records without impairment, marketing speed boosts, and customer anecdotes do not count.

This market resolves to Yes if by January 31, 2027, there is a publicly acknowledged, significant new regulatory action announced or taken specifically against Big Tech companies in Minnesota by the state government or legal authorities. Significant regulatory action includes new laws, legal proceedings, or fines specifically targeting Big Tech companies, as reported in recognized news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if GCHQ publicly announces that it has successfully located and accounted for all previously misplaced removable media by December 31, 2026. This must be verified through an official report or announcement by that date.