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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?

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About this market

SpaceX is preparing Starship Flight Test 15, a near-term test that could be key to proving its launch and recovery plan. Resolves Yes if the 15th SpaceX Starship flight test lifts off from its launch pad by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with liftoff meaning the vehicle rises off the launch mount under its own power, regardless of what happens afterward.

Rules

  • Market closes November 15, 2026 (ET).
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.