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This market resolves to Yes if Ukraine receives additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026. Confirmation should be from an official U.S. or Ukrainian government statement or credible news source.
This market resolves to Yes if the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is declared contained by responsible authorities by the end of September 15, 2026. Containment must be officially confirmed by local authorities such as the Nevada Division of Forestry or the National Interagency Fire Center.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.
Will the U.S. implement a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if an official blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is publicly announced and confirmed by the U.S. government by April 30, 2026, in response to escalating tensions with Iran.
Rules
- Market closes at 4/29/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
Other open markets in World News
Will Ukraine receive additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Ukraine receives additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026. Confirmation should be from an official U.S. or Ukrainian government statement or credible news source.
Will the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, be contained by September 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the Hawk Fire near Reno, Nevada, is declared contained by responsible authorities by the end of September 15, 2026. Containment must be officially confirmed by local authorities such as the Nevada Division of Forestry or the National Interagency Fire Center.
Will Trump meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Will U.S. gas prices average above $4.00 per gallon by October 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the national average gas price as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is above $4.00 per gallon on October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if it is $4.00 or below.
Will Hawaii restore power to 95% of households affected by Tropical Storm Lala by September 10, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if 95% or more of the households in Hawaii that lost power due to Tropical Storm Lala have their power restored by end of day on September 10, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from Hawaiian Electric Company or other official sources.
Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.