Will Uber's acquisition of Delivery Hero close successfully by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Novartis publicly announces the development of at least one therapeutic antibody using Chai Discovery's AI platform (e.g., Chai-3 model) by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come through official company press releases, news articles, or public disclosures. If no such announcement is made by the resolution date, this market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Chai Discovery publicly announces a new major collaboration with a pharmaceutical company by August 31, 2026. Announcements made by either Chai Discovery or the pharmaceutical partner that explicitly describe the collaboration will be considered valid. A 'major collaboration' is defined as one involving significant financial terms, technology sharing, or strategic alliances. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market will resolve to No.

Will Amazon successfully complete a $25 billion bond sale by July 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Amazon completes the sale of $25 billion in bonds, as reported by a credible financial news outlet or confirmed in Amazon's official announcements, by July 31, 2026. The sale must be explicitly finalized and publicly confirmed by this date to count as resolved.

This market resolves to Yes if Adani Defence and Aerospace, a subsidiary of the Adani Group, officially begins production at its defence manufacturing unit in Shivpuri, Madhya Pradesh, by December 31, 2026. Official confirmation must come from either Adani Group, government reports, or reputable industry publications. The facility includes missile, composite propellant, and TNT manufacturing complexes. Any delays in project completion or lack of operational confirmation by this date will cause the market to resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if HCLTech publicly announces another deal worth over $1 billion with a new client by August 31, 2026. The deal must be officially confirmed either through HCLTech's press releases, its official website, or other reputable news outlets such as Reuters or Bloomberg. Renewals or extensions of existing contracts do not count for this market. If no such announcement is made by the closing date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if Blue Owl Capital reports Q3 2026 investor withdrawal requests exceeding 30% of its assets in its software and technology-focused private credit fund. Official confirmation must come from Blue Owl's Q3 2026 earnings report or a formal company statement. This question reflects ongoing concerns around investor confidence in the private credit sector.