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This market resolves to Yes if Fox News's average primetime viewership for November 2026, as reported by Nielsen, exceeds 1.68 million viewers. The data must be publicly released by a credible source such as The Hollywood Reporter or Nielsen ratings before the resolution date.

40% chance
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What will be the peak position of Ariana Grande's eighth album on the Billboard 200 chart by August 21, 2026?

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About this market

This market resolves to the option that matches the highest position Ariana Grande's eighth album achieves on the Billboard 200 chart as of the list published on August 21, 2026. Positions are as reported by Billboard based on sales, streaming, and airplay.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/20/2026.
  • This is a multi-outcome market. All outcome probabilities sum to 100%.
  • One outcome will be selected as the winner at resolution.