Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if the first season of the new 'Harry Potter' series premieres on HBO by December 25, 2026, as reported by credible sources such as Variety or HBO's official announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange at any time before 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on data from Coinbase, Kraken, or Binance.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) closes above $80,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange on December 31, 2026. The closing price will be determined based on the last recorded price on Coinbase or Binance at 23:59 UTC on that date.
This market resolves to Yes if, according to CoinMarketCap or a comparable cryptocurrency market data provider, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds $1.5 trillion at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Market data will be verified by multiple reputable sources for accuracy.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA's PACE Satellite identifies a new substantial source of nitrogen dioxide pollution in a major city (population over 1 million) not currently recognized as a pollution hotspot, by December 31, 2026. The finding must be confirmed through NASA's official reports or a peer-reviewed scientific publication acknowledging PACE's data.
This market resolves to Yes if Mutuum Finance (MUTM) achieves its Phase 10 pricing tier by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official updates from Mutuum Finance and credible news sources detailing the advancement to Phase 10. Any confirmed achievement of this tier within the specified timeframe will result in a Yes resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Google, or its parent company Alphabet, announces the acquisition of a major AI and crypto-powered insurance brokerage firm by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. An official press release or a credible news source must confirm the acquisition for the market to resolve to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement confirms a premier soccer game (featuring national or international teams) is scheduled to be held at Lambeau Field by December 31, 2026. The game must be publicly confirmed on an official team or event organizer's website or social media account.
This market resolves to Yes if major tech companies (e.g., Meta, Google) officially report a significant impact on their revenues due to the new Australian tech levy in their earnings or official statements by the specified date. A significant impact is defined as an official acknowledgment in earnings calls or statements that the levy materially affected their reported revenue.
This market resolves to Yes if Oscar Health's stock price is greater than $12 at market close on December 31, 2026. Oscar Health has been making significant strides in healthcare innovation despite financial losses, impacting its stock performance. This market evaluates the ability of Oscar Health to maintain its stock price amid ongoing challenges and opportunities in the healthcare sector.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports by December 31, 2026, show a substantial reduction in the invasive blue crab population due to the octopus release experiment off Italy's Adriatic coast.
This market resolves to Yes if Megan Rapinoe makes a public statement supporting the International Olympic Committee's new policy intended to protect women's sports, prior to 31st December 2026. This includes any public statement in interviews, official publications, or on her verified social media accounts.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Congress passes legislation to repeal the future Medicaid spending cuts as outlined in recent debates, by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Dow successfully completes the announced plan to cut approximately 4,500 jobs by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Dow or credible reports confirming the completion of the job cuts.
This market resolves to Yes if Rule42 Sports Group publicly announces an investment in a new softball facility by December 31, 2026. Any such announcement must be reported by a reputable news source by the resolution date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.
This market resolves to Yes if the construction of the 62-mile section of the international border wall on the Tohono O'odham Nation reservation is completed by the end of 2026, as reported by reputable news outlets or official government announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
This market resolves to Yes if Bill Self is still serving as the head coach of the Kansas Jayhawks men's basketball team on December 31, 2026. This is based on current discussions and news about his future with the team.
This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.