Markets

This market resolves to Yes if Rule42 Sports Group publicly announces an investment in a new softball facility by December 31, 2026. Any such announcement must be reported by a reputable news source by the resolution date.

Will the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services propose new federal guidelines for midwifery care by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.

This market resolves to Yes if Dow successfully completes the announced plan to cut approximately 4,500 jobs by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Dow or credible reports confirming the completion of the job cuts.

This market resolves to Yes if Phoenix and Tucson successfully implement the 'Secure Water Arizona Program' (SWAP) aimed at sharing water during Colorado River shortages by December 31, 2026. Public announcements or official documents confirming the program's implementation will be used for resolution.

Will a major announcement about the next-gen Xbox occur by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a major announcement from Microsoft, AMD, or an affiliated representative specifically mentioning new features, release details, or official launch plans of the next-gen Xbox console is made publicly available by December 31, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if Bruce Springsteen's 2026 Tour ranks among the top 5 global tours by revenue according to Billboard's annual year-end report by December 31, 2026. The ranking is based on total revenue generated during the calendar year 2026.

Will Trump meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

This market resolves to Yes if Bill Self is still serving as the head coach of the Kansas Jayhawks men's basketball team on December 31, 2026. This is based on current discussions and news about his future with the team.

This market resolves to Yes if any official regulatory body approves the AI-discovered natural molecule for weight loss treatment by December 31, 2026. This molecule is designed to mimic Ozempic-like effects without the side effects, as reported in recent research from Stanford scientists.

This market resolves to Yes if a wearable smart patch designed to automatically deliver aid during a fentanyl overdose receives FDA approval by December 31, 2026. If the FDA does not approve such a device by this date, it resolves to No.

Will Disney's collaboration with TikTok creators include a full-length animated short by December 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if a full-length animated short (more than 10 minutes) produced through Disney's collaboration with TikTok creators is publicly released by December 31, 2026. If no such short is released by that date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) publicly announces new guidelines specifically aimed at exercise for adults aged 65 and older by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be reported by a credible health or governmental news source.

This market resolves to Yes if the NCAA officially recognizes flag football as an emerging sport by December 31, 2026. Recognition must be confirmed through an official announcement by the NCAA or from reliable sports news outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if any major foreign multinational corporation, defined as being part of the Fortune Global 500 list as of 2025, publicly announces the relocation of its corporate headquarters from its original country to the United States by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be reported by a reputable news source such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or the Wall Street Journal.

Will the U.S. Senate Committee on Indian Affairs propose new regulations for prediction markets by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate Committee on Indian Affairs, after the roundtable discussion on August 4, 2026, proposes any new regulations specifically targeting prediction markets by the end of 2026. A proposal is considered valid if it is documented in the public congressional records.

Will Bitcoin's price rebound to over $100,000 by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.

Will the next-gen Xbox console be officially announced by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement regarding the next-gen Xbox console is made by Microsoft on or before December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made via a press release, major tech event presentation, or on the official Xbox news channels and must specifically mention the new console model. Rumors or unofficial leaks will not qualify.

This market resolves to Yes if global cloud infrastructure spending reaches or exceeds $500 billion for the entire year of 2026, according to a recognized industry report or analyst like Omdia, by the end of 2026. Given recent trends and spending patterns, this prediction accounts for an expected growth of 27% from 2025.

This market resolves to Yes if a new federal initiative specifically targeting snow drought mitigation in the Western US is announced by the US government by December 31, 2026. The initiative should focus on addressing snow droughts through strategies such as snowpack enhancement, water resource management, or climate adaptation plans. Official announcements in any public US government domain qualify for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if global spending on cloud infrastructure services exceeds $500 billion by the end of 2026, according to industry reports or reliable public financial data on cloud spending.

Will the People's Bank of China issue $29 billion in special bonds to recapitalize insurers by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the People's Bank of China (PBOC) issues special government bonds totaling $29 billion or more by December 31, 2026, specifically for the purpose of recapitalizing insurance companies, as reported by recognized financial news sources. The resolution will be based on announcements or confirmations from the PBOC or reputable financial news outlets such as Bloomberg or Reuters.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a company publicly announces and demonstrates a fully autonomous AI-driven kitchen robot capable of preparing meals without human intervention. The announcement must be verifiable by major technology or science publications.

This market resolves to "Yes" if the Detroit Lions officially qualify for the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season. Otherwise, it resolves to "No".