Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if the Wisconsin Department of Justice announces by September 15, 2026, that it will press charges against any police officers involved in the fatal shooting of Corey Ruiz. Public statements from the department or verified news reports will determine the resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the federal funds rate at the conclusion of their meeting scheduled for September 16, 2026. A Yes resolution requires an official announcement of a rate hike in the FOMC statement. The market closes prior to the release of the statement.
This market resolves to Yes if Roy Wood Jr. wins the Emmy for Outstanding Variety Special Writing at the 2026 Emmy Awards ceremony. The resolution will be based on official announcements from the Emmy Awards.
This market resolves to Yes if FilmNation Entertainment announces a new major film project by the start of the Zurich Summit on September 25, 2026. A major film project is defined as a production that is expected to have significant global distribution or major star involvement, as covered by reputable industry sources.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Philadelphia Phillies have a better overall record in the 2026 MLB regular season than the New York Mets, as determined by official MLB standings at the conclusion of the regular season. If both teams finish with identical records, the market resolves to 'No'. Playoff performance does not affect this market's resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Charli XCX's self-directed film, released alongside her new album 'Music, Fashion, Film,' receives any award nomination (e.g., MTV Video Music Awards, UK Music Video Awards) by September 30, 2026. Only official nominations publicly announced by this date will be considered valid.
Resolves Yes if apple.com lists the iPhone 18 Pro as sold out, or quotes ship dates later than September 30, 2026 for every Pro configuration, at any point between preorders opening and this market closing.
This market resolves to Yes if ESPN publicly announces that Matt Miller has resumed his on-air analyst role by September 30, 2026. If no such announcement is made by then, this market resolves to No. The question stems from Miller's indefinite leave due to health and financial investigation issues.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court rules that the climate change-related lawsuit by the city of Boulder against Exxon Mobil and Suncore Energy remains in state court by September 2026. The decision will determine if climate lawsuits like Boulder's will continue in state courts or be moved to federal courts.
This market resolves to Yes if a federal cryptocurrency market structure bill is passed by both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives and signed into law by the President by September 30, 2026. The bill must specifically address the regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency market.
This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut any time before or during Q3 2026. The official announcement must be reported by a credible financial news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if the restoration of the Mastodonsaurus skeleton at the Copernicus Science Center in Warsaw, Poland, is officially declared complete by September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on announcements or reports from the Copernicus Science Center, the Polish Academy of Sciences, or other reliable media outlets. This market resolves to No if the restoration is not completed by this date.
This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, there is a public announcement from the United Nations or relevant education summit officials confirming an increase in funding for education systems as a result of the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA or a NASA-affiliated source publicly announces a researched, credible scientific explanation for the honeycomb patterns photographed by the Curiosity rover on Mars by September 30, 2026. Hypotheses or speculative statements will not count; the explanation must be supported by research or analysis acknowledged as credible by NASA. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is publicly made by this date.
This market resolves to Yes if the Endocrine Society publicly announces, by September 2026, that hormone therapy is recommended over non-hormonal treatments (including fezolinetant) for menopause based on official guidelines or recommendations. The announcement must clearly state preference and be available on the Endocrine Society's official communication channels.
This market resolves to Yes if Expensify publicly announces that its new Consolidated Travel Billing service has reached at least 50,000 active users by September 30, 2026. Active users are defined as companies actively using the service for business travel payments. Any official press release, investor call, or similar source confirming the milestone will determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 5% at any point before or on September 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined using publicly available financial data from credible sources like the U.S. Department of the Treasury.
This market resolves to Yes if the Clarity Act, a significant piece of legislation aimed at establishing federal rules for digital assets, is signed into law by September 30, 2026. The Clarity Act must be officially enacted as law by this date, and confirmation must be verifiable through reliable sources such as government publications or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if a new significant archaeological discovery, distinct from the currently known fan-shaped structure, is publicly reported to have been found beneath the East Antarctic Ice Sheet by the resolution date. The discovery must be notable enough to be covered by reputable scientific news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if Todd Blanche remains in the position of U.S. Attorney General as of September 30, 2026. Given recent movements in the Department of Justice following Pam Bondi’s ouster and replacement by Todd Blanche, this market focuses on the stability of Blanche’s appointment amid ongoing political dynamics.
This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's stock price reaches or exceeds its highest price in July 2026 at any point before the end of the day on September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on publicly available trading data.
This market resolves to Yes if the Strait of Bab el Mandeb continues to be blocked by military forces or other disruptions related to the ongoing conflict beyond September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on credible news reports confirming whether the strait remains closed to commercial shipping.
This market resolves to Yes if official government sources or reliable international news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC) confirm that Péter Magyar's administration has formally introduced a bill to restructure Hungary's governance by replacing the presidency with an alternative system (e.g., parliamentary-only or a ceremonial head of state) on or before September 30, 2026. If no such bill is confirmed by this date, this market resolves to No.