Markets

Will a mail-in voting restriction be blocked by U.S. courts by October 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any U.S. court issues a final ruling blocking the Trump administration's executive order aimed at cracking down on mail-in voting. The resolution will be based on official court announcements or trusted news sources confirming such a decision by October 31, 2026.

This market resolves to Yes if MGM+ announces a renewal for a second season of the miniseries 'A Tale of Two Cities' by October 31, 2026. If no announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) announces a decision to eliminate the 30-year-old program providing affordable and reliable internet connections for schools and libraries by October 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if the Crypto Clarity Act, strongly endorsed by President Trump, is passed by Congress on or before November 1, 2026. The act is expected to have significant implications for the crypto market. If no official congressional passage is announced by this date, the market resolves to No.

Will Celine Dion complete her 2026 Paris residency without canceling any shows?

This market resolves to Yes if Celine Dion completes her announced five-week residency in Paris in the fall of 2026 without canceling any of the scheduled concerts due to health issues or any other reasons.

Will Google's Smart Glasses be available to the public by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Google's new Smart Glasses, announced at Google I/O 2026, are officially available for purchase by the public by November 1, 2026. Validation will be based on a public announcement from Google or availability in major retail stores.

Will Iran and Oman finalize a deal on the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Iran and Oman publicly announce a finalized deal regarding the Strait of Hormuz by November 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if no such announcement is made by this date.

This market resolves to Yes if the Baltimore Ravens successfully trade for Maxx Crosby from the Las Vegas Raiders before the official 2026 NFL trade deadline. Trades and acquisitions must be publicly confirmed by both the Ravens and the Raiders, and recognized by the NFL by the close of the trade deadline.

Will Troy Jackson win the Maine U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterms?

This market resolves to Yes if Troy Jackson, the former Maine Senate President and Democratic nominee, wins the Maine U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. The result will be based on official election outcomes as announced by state or federal election officials.

This market resolves to Yes if at least one of the Republican challengers, Michael LiPetri Jr. in New York's 3rd Congressional District or Jeanine Driscoll in the 4th Congressional District, wins their respective elections on November 3, 2026, presumably influenced by Trump's recent visit.

This market resolves to Yes if Susan Collins wins the U.S. Senate seat representing Maine in the 2026 elections, as officially confirmed by the state of Maine. The market resolves to No if any other candidate is declared the winner or if she withdraws before the election.

This market resolves to Yes if Melissa Bean wins the general election for Illinois' 8th Congressional District in November 2026. The resolution will be based on the official election results published by the state of Illinois.

This market resolves to Yes if a candidate opposed to the expansion of data centers is elected to the U.S. Senate from North Carolina in the November 2026 elections.

This market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party retains a majority in the U.S. Senate following the November 2026 elections, as publicly confirmed by at least two credible sources such as major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, CNN, or BBC).

This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in the Wisconsin State Senate as a result of the 2026 election. Official election results will confirm the resolution.

Will U.S. discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpass that of higher-income Americans in September 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if publicly available data for September 2026 shows that discretionary spending growth for lower-income Americans surpasses that of higher-income Americans, according to a report by the Bank of America Institute or an equivalent authoritative source.

This market resolves to Yes if all companies referred to as the 'Magnificent Seven' (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) report earnings growth that outpaces the percentage growth of the S&P 500 index during their respective Q3 2026 earnings releases. The determination will rely on the reported earnings growth percentages (year-over-year) compared directly to the S&P 500 earnings growth percentage for Q3 2026, as published by financial sources such as Bloomberg, Reuters, or other widely trusted market data outlets by the close of the last Magnificent Seven company's earnings report release.

This market resolves to Yes if the University of Maryland Eastern Shore (UMES) women's volleyball team finishes in the top 3 positions at their 2026 conference tournament. The official final standings announced at the conclusion of the tournament will be used to determine the outcome. If the conference tournament does not occur for any reason, the market will resolve to No.

This market resolves to Yes if during COP31, which is scheduled for November 2026, a major participating country or coalition announces a new substantial climate policy specifically addressing the recent acceleration in global warming, as reported by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. The policy must be officially announced and publicly verified during the conference dates.

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Will Amazon acquire a major AI lab in 2026?

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

This market resolves to Yes if the Protect College Sports Act is officially passed by the U.S. Senate by November 30, 2026. The passage must be publicly confirmed through reliable sources such as official government announcements or major news outlets.

Will Terminal Autonomy announce the reopening of their Kyiv drone factory by November 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Terminal Autonomy announces the reopening of their drone factory in Kyiv on or before November 30, 2026, following its destruction by a Russian missile.