Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially announces a touch-screen MacBook during their September 2026 event. If no such announcement is made during this event, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the average percentage of uninsured patients reported by major U.S. hospitals exceeds 25% by the end of Q3 2026, as indicated in their publicly available earnings reports or official statements.
This market resolves to Yes if a new significant archaeological discovery, distinct from the currently known fan-shaped structure, is publicly reported to have been found beneath the East Antarctic Ice Sheet by the resolution date. The discovery must be notable enough to be covered by reputable scientific news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if, by September 30, 2026, there is a public announcement from the United Nations or relevant education summit officials confirming an increase in funding for education systems as a result of the UN Transforming Education Summit + 4. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if a federal cryptocurrency market structure bill is passed by both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives and signed into law by the President by September 30, 2026. The bill must specifically address the regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency market.
This market resolves to Yes if the Clarity Act, a significant piece of legislation aimed at establishing federal rules for digital assets, is signed into law by September 30, 2026. The Clarity Act must be officially enacted as law by this date, and confirmation must be verifiable through reliable sources such as government publications or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if Stanford Medicine or another reputable institution publicly confirms that the AI-discovered molecule, which mimics the effects of Ozempic without the side effects, receives approval to commence clinical trials by September 30, 2026. The resolution will be based on announcements from institutions, regulatory bodies, or credible science news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports or credible news sources confirm that Amazon has achieved a reduction of at least 10% in operational labor hours in its robotics-enabled warehouses due to the new efficiency drive focused on human movement optimization by September 30, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if ESPN publicly announces another round of layoffs specifically tied to its April 2026 NFL Network acquisition by September 30, 2026. Relevant announcements could be made through official ESPN communication channels, press releases, or credible news sources. If no such announcement is made by the closing date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if TM successfully migrates from DNB services to a new mobile network by September 30, 2026, as confirmed by public announcements or official reports from TM. TM, also known as Telekom Malaysia, has intentions to terminate DNB services and transition over the next few months. The resolution will be based on credible news sources or TM's official statements.
This market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court issues a ruling by September 30, 2026, allowing the Trump administration's order targeting mail-in voting to proceed. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $80,000 on any official cryptocurrency exchange by October 1, 2026, 00:00 UTC. The price verification will be based on reputable sources like CoinMarketCap or Binance pricing data. If the price does not reach or exceed $80,000 by this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the iPhone 18 Pro, announced by Apple in 2026, includes a redesign of the Dynamic Island display feature. The resolution will be based on official announcements from Apple or verified visual evidence of the iPhone 18 Pro design as presented during its launch event or via credible reports.
This market resolves to Yes if the US Congress formally proposes a national framework to regulate artificial intelligence by September 30, 2026. The proposal must be an official piece of legislation specifically addressing AI regulation, announced by either the House of Representatives or the Senate.
This market resolves to Yes if the Boston Red Sox finish with a higher position than the New York Yankees in the American League East standings at the end of the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. If the Red Sox finish in the same position or below the Yankees, the market resolves to No. Official MLB standings will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if Oakland Athletics player Nick Kurtz achieves an on-base streak greater than 48 games during the 2026 Major League Baseball season. The resolution is based on official MLB statistics.
This market resolves to Yes if Universal Health Services successfully completes the acquisition of the virtual behavioral healthcare company Talkspace by October 1, 2026, as announced in the news. The resolution will be based on official announcements confirming the acquisition’s completion.
This market resolves to Yes if Iron Maiden officially announces a new tour by October 1, 2026, that prominently features multimedia integrations tied to Pophouse Entertainment’s recent stake in Iron Maiden's publishing, master recordings, and image rights. Such integrations could include branded concert visuals, collaborations with video games, or other Pophouse-owned media.
This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.
This market resolves to Yes if Blake Lively reaches a settlement in her lawsuit against WME regarding the alleged retaliatory campaign by October 1, 2026. A Yes resolution will be confirmed if there are credible public reports or statements from either party indicating a settlement agreement.
This market resolves to Yes if the L.A. Metro Monthly Safety Tracker, launched to provide safety data across the Metro system, reports a 10% or greater decrease in incidents, compared to the March 2026 data, by its September 2026 report.