Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if the S&P 500 index closes at a level above 7,000 on the last trading day of 2026. It uses the official closing value published by the New York Stock Exchange for December 31, 2026. If December 31 is not a trading day, the resolution will use the closing value of the next trading day.
This market resolves to Yes if there is an official settlement or resolution of the lawsuit filed by the sex worker against Netflix and 50 Cent over alleged editing in the Diddy docuseries, publicly announced by December 31, 2026. If the case is dismissed without a settlement, this market resolves to No.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the 2027 MLS All-Star Week includes a program or event that explicitly incorporates professional sporting elements into corporate meetings or retreats, similar to programs announced in 2026. Public announcements from MLS, corporate sponsors, or event organizers will be used to determine the outcome.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the Detroit Lions officially qualify for the NFL playoffs in the 2026 season. Otherwise, it resolves to "No".
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by the Mexican government or relevant cultural authorities regarding a new national museum exhibition dedicated to the recently discovered Zapotec tomb and its artifacts by December 31, 2026. The exhibition must be officially scheduled or opened to the public by this date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if Phoenix and Tucson successfully implement the 'Secure Water Arizona Program' (SWAP) aimed at sharing water during Colorado River shortages by December 31, 2026. Public announcements or official documents confirming the program's implementation will be used for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.
This market resolves to Yes if the People's Bank of China (PBOC) issues special government bonds totaling $29 billion or more by December 31, 2026, specifically for the purpose of recapitalizing insurance companies, as reported by recognized financial news sources. The resolution will be based on announcements or confirmations from the PBOC or reputable financial news outlets such as Bloomberg or Reuters.
This market resolves to Yes if there is a 10% or greater increase in new build-to-rent housing development projects in the US by December 31, 2026, compared to the number of such projects in 2025. Verification will be based on industry reports and data from credible real estate market analysis sources.
This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement regarding the next-gen Xbox console is made by Microsoft on or before December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made via a press release, major tech event presentation, or on the official Xbox news channels and must specifically mention the new console model. Rumors or unofficial leaks will not qualify.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports from Eurostat confirm that the Eurozone inflation rate exceeds 3% for any month in Q4 2026 (October, November, or December). The data must be publicly released and verifiable by official Eurostat publications.
This market resolves to Yes if the total global cryptocurrency market capitalization, as tracked by CoinGecko, reaches $4 trillion or more at any point before 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026. If this milestone is not achieved by this date, the market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $50,000 on any respected crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The resolution source will be CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or another major exchange as necessary.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a company publicly announces and demonstrates a fully autonomous AI-driven kitchen robot capable of preparing meals without human intervention. The announcement must be verifiable by major technology or science publications.
This market resolves to Yes if Hub Group announces and officially restates its financials for any quarter of 2026 by December 31, 2026. Any official announcements or filings by Hub Group regarding a restatement will be considered for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if any major university announces a new economics curriculum that explicitly emphasizes a pluralist approach, incorporating multiple economic theories, increased ethical considerations, historical perspectives, and applicability to real-world issues by December 31, 2026. Valid announcements must be reported by a reputable news source or official university communication.
This market resolves to Yes if an astronomical team formally announces the confirmation of a pulsar near the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way by December 31, 2026, based on peer-reviewed published research or an official statement from a recognized astronomical organization such as NASA or the European Space Agency.
This market resolves to Yes if the production or distribution company officially announces the cancellation of the next Fast and Furious movie due to budget concerns by the end of 2026. Any other reason for cancellation or delays does not count. Only official announcements from credible sources such as press releases or statements from the production team will be considered valid for resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if a major global insurance company officially adopts the coastal erosion modeling tools developed by Ocean Ledger into their risk assessment frameworks by December 31, 2026. Official adoption means a public announcement or report by the insurer about integrating Ocean Ledger's model into their systems.
This market resolves to Yes if a major announcement from Microsoft, AMD, or an affiliated representative specifically mentioning new features, release details, or official launch plans of the next-gen Xbox console is made publicly available by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if, by the end of 2026, a peer-reviewed study is published that validates PicII-503's role in influencing cosmic carbon abundance through its unique properties as observed in recent astronomical studies.
This market resolves to Yes if a proposal to overhaul the Supreme Court, including adding justices or limiting their terms, is formally introduced as a bill in either the House of Representatives or the Senate and a vote is held on it by December 31, 2026. The proposal must include changes such as increasing the number of justices or altering term limits.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces the integration of space-based observations of vegetation and soil moisture into their air quality forecast models for agricultural regions by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be from an official NASA source and specify the integration into forecast models.