Markets
Explore and trade on all active prediction markets.
This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle manages to raise a minimum of $45 billion in aggregate from debt and equity markets by December 31, 2026. Confirmation will be based on official financial statements or announcements from Oracle at the close of the fiscal year 2026. If Oracle announces that they have raised less than $45 billion by the end of 2026, the market will resolve to No. If no clear announcement is made by the closing date, and there is no verifiable third-party confirmation, the market will resolve to No.
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly announces new detailed scientific findings specifically related to Jupiter's core based on data from the Juno mission by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if Britney Spears releases a new music single, either as a solo artist or as a featured artist, on or before December 31, 2026. The release must be available on major music streaming platforms like Spotify or Apple Music.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2026, the federal lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice against the Kansas City school system regarding transgender student policies is resolved in favor of the plaintiffs. Any official court ruling or settlement agreement that supports the plaintiffs' case and changes the current policies will qualify as a resolution in favor of the plaintiffs.
This market resolves to Yes if verifiable reports by a major news organization confirm that references, including mention or inclusion, to individuals within the Epstein Files exceed 10 million by December 31, 2026. 'References' must be clearly documented in the context of released file information, covering any individual discussed in news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if official healthcare reports indicate a 20% or higher increase in the number of UK patients opting to pay for certain healthcare services out of pocket compared to baseline numbers from prior years, by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if M EVO GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP II announces an official merger or acquisition with a company primarily involved in the critical minerals sector by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be officially confirmed through a press release or a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
This market resolves to Yes if the draft law proposing restrictions on Steam and the Epic Games Store by the Ministry of Family and Social Services is officially enacted in Turkey by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on reports from reliable news sources confirming the enactment.
This market resolves to Yes if Oracle's NetSuite AI Connector Service reports a 20% or greater increase in the number of corporate clients by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by Oracle's official financial statements or press releases.
This market resolves to Yes if the Apple's 'citrus' MacBook Neo is listed as a top 5 bestseller in the 'budget laptops' segment by a major market analytics company or industry report by the end of 2026. Valid sources may include Gartner, IDC, or similar reputable market research firms.
This market resolves to Yes if Apple issues an official recall of the second-generation Apple AirTag before January 1, 2027. A recall is defined as an official action by Apple to return sold units of the new AirTag due to defects or other issues. This does not include individual returns or updates, but an official public recall affecting multiple devices.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any prominent AI tool used for interpreting patient medical records becomes officially recognized as HIPAA-compliant. Verification will be based on public announcements from a recognized regulatory body or a statement from the tool developer confirming HIPAA compliance.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, a publicly verified and commercially available AI-based chip is demonstrated to reduce energy consumption in data centers by 10% or more compared to conventional methods, as evidenced by reputable sources such as scientific journals, industry reports, or major news outlets.
This market resolves to Yes if the finalized 2027 US defense budget, as enacted by Congress and signed into law by the President, includes $65.8 billion allocated specifically for shipbuilding. The resolution will be based on the official budget documentation released by the US government for the fiscal year 2027.
This market resolves to Yes if MLG Oz publicly reports generating over A$30 million in annual revenue from its contracts with Gruyere Mining Company by December 31, 2026. Sources will include official financial statements, press releases, or credible business news reports.
This market resolves to Yes if, by the end of December 31, 2026, researchers publicly demonstrate an operational organic solar cell utilizing the newly observed ultrafast charge transfer mechanism involving electron 'catapults' in molecular interfaces, as described in the 2026 study on advanced solar materials.
This market resolves to Yes if official publicly released versions of the Epstein Files contain over one million mentions of Donald Trump's name as verified by credible sources by December 31, 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, at least 10 major universities publicly announce and implement a new economics curriculum influenced by the Rethinking Economics movement, incorporating more pluralistic and ethically conscientious frameworks as described in recent articles. Confirmation will be based on verifiable announcements from the universities or media coverage.
This market resolves to Yes if a judicial review is initiated by any party involved in the rival bid for the Telegraph against the UK government's decision to allow the Daily Mail owner to proceed with the takeover by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official court records or credible news reports confirming such a review has been filed.
This market resolves to Yes if the Jordanian Parliament maintains the removal of the word 'Israel' from their official parliamentary minutes until December 31, 2026. Any official reversal of this decision will result in a No resolution.
This market resolves to Yes if PayPal announces an acquisition by another company on or before December 31, 2026. An acquisition is defined as a public announcement that another company has agreed to acquire PayPal, either fully or as a controlling stake. Official announcements from PayPal or the acquiring company will serve as confirmation.
This market resolves to Yes if Crypto.com receives full and unconditional approval for a national trust bank charter from U.S. regulators by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Crypto.com or U.S. regulatory authorities.