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Will a major pharmaceutical company announce a new drug developed using quantum chemistry software by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the cost of semaglutide fall below $10 per month in low-income countries by the end of 2026?
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
50% chance
Will the SEC implement new regulations on Trump-linked cryptocurrencies by December 31, 2026?
Yes
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No
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50% chance
Will Crypto.com fully obtain its national trust bank charter by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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50% chance
Will a new automated system to detect fraudulent scientific papers be adopted by a major publisher by December 31, 2026?
Yes
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No
50¢
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Will Revolut secure a US bank charter by December 31, 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will PayPal be acquired by another company by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will there be more than 25 significant M&A deals in the sports industry by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will Japan have over 50,000 locations accepting cryptocurrency payments by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will UK inflation exceed 2.5% in the second half of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will Greenpeace file for bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will India produce its first domestically designed semiconductor chip by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will Bill Gates publicly address his ties to Jeffrey Epstein again in 2026?
Yes
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Will Jordan keep 'Israel' removed from parliamentary minutes until the end of 2026?
Yes
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Will Chubb complete its first significant workforce reduction by December 2026?
Yes
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Will over 50% of major U.S. hospitals integrate AI-driven scribe tools by the end of 2026?
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Will CoreWeave face new allegations of securities fraud after April 1, 2026?
Yes
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Will the US ban on institutional investors buying single-family homes come into effect by December 2026?
Yes
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Will Oura's AI model for women's health be commercially available by December 31, 2026?
Yes
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Will a paper examining the use of peer replication in scientific research be published in a top-tier journal by December 2026?
Yes
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Will Southern Africa experience a 100-year flood event in 2026 due to climate factors?
Yes
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Will Monogram Health expand its in-home care services to a new US state by the end of 2026?
Yes
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Will Bitcoin's price exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes
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No
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Will the U.S. Supreme Court see a new Chief Justice appointed by the end of 2026?
Yes
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No
50¢
50% chance
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