Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if an official change or adjustment in US tariffs on imported goods is announced and implemented by the US government by December 31, 2026. This includes any formal announcement by a relevant government official or body specifying the change in tariff rates, the introduction of new tariffs, or the removal of existing tariffs. News reports alone without an official announcement do not count for resolution purposes.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Office for National Statistics indicates an inflation rate above 2.5% for any month between July and December 2026. Inflation rate is measured in terms of year-over-year percentage change. Official statistics on the UK government's website will be used for resolution.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Greenpeace files for bankruptcy protection in the United States before December 31, 2026, as a direct consequence of the $345 million verdict against them finalized in the Dakota Access Pipeline case. Official bankruptcy filings must be reported by major news outlets or through legal documents. If no bankruptcy filing occurs by the end date, the market resolves to No.

50% chance

Will the UK hold a general election before June 2027?

50%chance 13 today
Ends Jun 1, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if Stellantis officially announces, via a press release or similar formal communication, a new Electric Vehicle (EV) model for the European market that utilizes technology sourced from a Chinese company by December 31, 2026. The announcement must clearly state the involvement of Chinese technology to qualify.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if TM successfully migrates from DNB services to a new mobile network by September 30, 2026, as confirmed by public announcements or official reports from TM. TM, also known as Telekom Malaysia, has intentions to terminate DNB services and transition over the next few months. The resolution will be based on credible news sources or TM's official statements.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 15% or more of the Israeli companies listed on the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) receive a climate score in 2026. The evaluation will be based on the official CDP report published at the end of 2026.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if PayPal publicly announces that it has agreed to a formal takeover or acquisition deal with another company by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made on PayPal's official website, press release, or a major financial news outlet.

50% chance

Showing 553-576 of 770 markets