Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.

This market resolves to Yes if Crypto.com receives full and unconditional approval for a national trust bank charter from U.S. regulators by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Crypto.com or U.S. regulatory authorities.

Will PayPal be acquired by another company by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if PayPal announces an acquisition by another company on or before December 31, 2026. An acquisition is defined as a public announcement that another company has agreed to acquire PayPal, either fully or as a controlling stake. Official announcements from PayPal or the acquiring company will serve as confirmation.

Will the U.S. Supreme Court rule to keep the Boulder climate case in state court by September 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court rules that the climate change-related lawsuit by the city of Boulder against Exxon Mobil and Suncore Energy remains in state court by September 2026. The decision will determine if climate lawsuits like Boulder's will continue in state courts or be moved to federal courts.

Will the U.S. State Department lift the evacuation order for non-emergency personnel from the Beirut embassy by July 2026?

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. State Department officially announces the lifting of the evacuation order for non-emergency U.S. personnel and eligible family members from the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, before or on July 31, 2026. A public announcement through the official State Department website or a major reputable news outlet will be used as verification.

This market resolves to Yes if a published report or announcement verifies that a quantum chemistry calculation has been performed significantly faster than previously recorded times, using a new or updated software package developed before the end of 2026. The resolution will be based on credible sources such as scientific publications, company press releases, or other authoritative announcements.

Will the U.S. government ban institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. government officially enacts legislation banning institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes. News reports and official government announcements will be used to resolve this market.

This market resolves to Yes if Floyd Mayweather participates in a sanctioned professional boxing match that is not an exhibition bout by the end of December 31, 2026. Exhibition matches and any unsanctioned fights will not fulfill the criteria for this market.

This market resolves to Yes if a new federal regulation concerning name, image, and likeness (NIL) rights is enacted that directly affects existing college football policies by December 31, 2027. The rule must be established at the federal level and have an impact on college football governance or athlete eligibility within the United States.

Will Nvidia finalize a $30 billion investment in OpenAI by September 30, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Nvidia officially finalizes a $30 billion investment in OpenAI by September 30, 2026. Official confirmation must come from credible sources such as company press releases, major news outlets like Reuters, Bloomberg, or CNBC. If the investment is not finalized by this date, the market resolves to No.