Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if the Durham Arts Council receives a single grant worth more than $500,000 by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements or releases from Durham Arts Council and confirmed by reputable news sources.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, human brain cells on a chip, similar to those developed by Cortical Labs, can play the game Doom with performance metrics (e.g., completion time, accuracy, strategic decision-making) that are comparable to those of average human gamers, as determined by a verified and publicly available demonstration or study.

This market resolves to Yes if scientific reports published by a credible institution (such as NASA, the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or a peer-reviewed scientific journal) confirm that Jakobshavn Glacier has reached a critical tipping point by December 31, 2027. The tipping point is defined as a significant and sustained acceleration in the glacier's melt rate leading to irreversible retreat.

This market resolves to Yes if Kate Middleton makes an official royal appearance wearing traditional Welsh attire by December 31, 2026. An official appearance is defined as one where Kate Middleton, as Princess of Wales, is representing the British Royal Family in an official capacity. Evidence must be from a reputable news source with photographic confirmation.

Will Stellantis introduce a Chinese EV technology-powered car in Europe by the end of 2027?

This market resolves to Yes if Stellantis launches an electric vehicle in any European market incorporating Chinese EV technology by December 31, 2027. The vehicle must be publicly advertised and available for sale within this timeframe.