Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if a swarm of drones is publicly confirmed by a recognized space agency or private space exploration company to have been deployed to explore a planetary body (such as a planet, moon, or asteroid) in our solar system by December 31, 2027. The confirmation must come from official sources, such as a press release or statement.

This market resolves to Yes if any major university announces a new economics curriculum that explicitly emphasizes a pluralist approach, incorporating multiple economic theories, increased ethical considerations, historical perspectives, and applicability to real-world issues by December 31, 2026. Valid announcements must be reported by a reputable news source or official university communication.

This market resolves to Yes if a new archaeological site that is over 4,000 years old is discovered on an island in Greenland that was not previously known for such sites. The discovery must be reported by a credible scientific publication or news outlet by December 31, 2026.

Will the U.S. GDP growth rate exceed 3.0% in 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. GDP growth rate for the year 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, exceeds 3.0%. The resolution will occur following the official release of the 2026 annual GDP report, typically published in Q1 of the following year. Data from other sources will not be used for resolution.

This market resolves to Yes if the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) officially approves the 55 million euro loan to Bulgaria's Asarel Medet on or before July 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from the EBRD or confirmed media reports.