Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, NASA's Juno mission announces the discovery of a new feature in Jupiter's atmosphere through official NASA publications or press releases. The feature must be a previously unobserved characteristic or phenomenon distinct from existing knowledge.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, according to official reports from the International Olympic Committee or similar authoritative bodies, more than 75% of the potential Winter Olympics host locations identified in a pre-2030 study require machine-made snow to meet the conditions for holding the Games by December 31, 2030.

50% chance

Will Bitcoin's price exceed $90,000 by the end of July 2026?

50%chance 12 today
Ends Jul 31

This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Luigi Mangione is found guilty of at least one federal stalking charge related to the case involving the death of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by the end of December 2026. Any official court verdict or plea that acknowledges guilt for stalking at the federal level will determine the resolution.

52% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Deckers announces or confirms, through a press release or official financial statement, that its Hoka brand is present in over 50% more athletic specialty stores in the United States by the end of Q3 2026 compared to its distribution as of Q1 2026.

50% chance

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