Will a suspect be charged for security breach at the White House Correspondents' Dinner by May 15, 2026?

Will a significant diplomatic agreement be announced between Russia and North Korea by September 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if an official and significant diplomatic agreement between Russia and North Korea is publicly announced by either or both countries before September 15, 2026. 'Significant' is defined as any agreement related to trade, military, or an equivalent substantive issue.

This market resolves to Yes if the Strait of Bab el Mandeb continues to be blocked by military forces or other disruptions related to the ongoing conflict beyond September 30, 2026. Verification will be based on credible news reports confirming whether the strait remains closed to commercial shipping.

Will Andrew and Tristan Tate face formal charges in the U.S. by August 15, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if Andrew and/or Tristan Tate are formally charged with criminal offenses in the United States by August 15, 2026, as confirmed by credible governmental or law enforcement statements (e.g., Department of Justice press releases). If no formal charges are announced by the deadline, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if public and credible reports confirm that commercial shipping traffic has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on August 31, 2026. Public confirmation can come from governments, international maritime organizations, or major verified news outlets. If no such reports are available by this date, the market resolves to No.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.

Will the United Nations impose new sanctions on China due to its Uyghur policies by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the United Nations implements new sanctions on China that are officially attributed to its treatment of Uyghurs. The determination will be based on credible reports from major international news organizations and official UN announcements.