Markets

Will the United States launch a military attack on Iran by August 15, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if credible sources, such as the U.S. Department of Defense, international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, CNN, BBC), or official statements from the U.S. government, confirm that the United States has launched a military attack on Iran by August 15, 2026. The market resolves to No otherwise. Airstrikes, drone strikes, or other direct military offensives specifically targeting Iran will qualify for resolution.

Rules

  • Market closes at 8/14/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.