Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Companies Markets

This market resolves to Yes if TM successfully migrates from DNB services to a new mobile network by September 30, 2026, as confirmed by public announcements or official reports from TM. TM, also known as Telekom Malaysia, has intentions to terminate DNB services and transition over the next few months. The resolution will be based on credible news sources or TM's official statements.

50% chance
50% chance

Will Dow complete its 4,500 job cuts by the end of 2026?

50%chance 15 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, TeraWulf has publicly reported through its official filings or press releases that over 50% of the Bitcoin mined by the company in 2026 is retained as part of its strategic reserves. This must be clearly stated in a verifiable source.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces the completion of a merger with either SpaceX or xAI by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Tesla or regulatory filings will be used to determine the resolution of this market.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if PayPal announces an acquisition by another company on or before December 31, 2026. An acquisition is defined as a public announcement that another company has agreed to acquire PayPal, either fully or as a controlling stake. Official announcements from PayPal or the acquiring company will serve as confirmation.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Tesla officially announces a merger, acquisition, or any formal consolidation with SpaceX and xAI by December 31, 2026. The confirmation must come from an official press release or a regulatory filing by any of the involved companies. Partial or informal announcements will not qualify.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if any company or consortium submits a formal takeover offer for PayPal Holdings Inc. that is publicly confirmed by PayPal or widely reported in reputable financial news sources by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.

50% chance

Will US IPO proceeds exceed $160 billion in 2026?

50%chance 12 today
Ends Jan 15, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if General Motors' electric vehicle division reports a profitable quarter (positive net income) by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026. The official financial statements released by GM for Q4 2026 will be used to determine the outcome.

50% chance

Will GM reduce its EV division losses by over $1 billion in 2026?

50%chance 15 today
Ends Jan 31, 2027

Will NetEase's total revenue exceed $10 billion in FY2026?

50%chance 17 today
Ends Mar 31, 2027

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.