Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Climate Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Supreme Court rules that the climate change-related lawsuit by the city of Boulder against Exxon Mobil and Suncore Energy remains in state court by September 2026. The decision will determine if climate lawsuits like Boulder's will continue in state courts or be moved to federal courts.
Will the Arctic sea ice extent be less than 4 million square kilometers in September 2026?
Will the EU's rollbacks of climate regulations be reinstated by the end of 2026?
Will any S&P 500 company achieve a CDP 'A' rating in Climate Action for the first time by December 2026?
Will a federal US initiative to address snow droughts be announced by 2026?
Will Ocean Ledger's coastal erosion model be adopted by a major global insurer by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Somoy TV publicly announces the establishment of a dedicated Climate, Environment and Nature Desk before December 31, 2026. The announcement must be verifiable through official channels, such as a press release by Somoy TV, major news publications, or an official statement on Somoy TV's website.
This market resolves to Yes if a 100-year flood event, as defined by hydrological standards, occurs in Southern Africa in 2026 and is linked to climate change factors. Verification will be based on reports from reputable sources, such as the World Meteorological Organization or peer-reviewed scientific studies.
Will the European Union implement a new climate adaptation policy by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if 15% or more of the Israeli companies listed on the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) receive a climate score in 2026. The evaluation will be based on the official CDP report published at the end of 2026.
This market resolves to Yes if Greenpeace files for bankruptcy protection in the United States before December 31, 2026, as a direct consequence of the $345 million verdict against them finalized in the Dakota Access Pipeline case. Official bankruptcy filings must be reported by major news outlets or through legal documents. If no bankruptcy filing occurs by the end date, the market resolves to No.
Will the Greenland Ice Sheet contribute over 1mm to global sea-level rise in 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if official government documentation or reputable news sources confirm that the Dutch government has implemented legally binding targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions, in line with the Paris Climate Agreement, for the island of Bonaire by July 31, 2027.
Will Japan initiate its first commercial ocean seabed mining operation by the end of 2027?
Will Japan begin commercial ocean-floor mining by the end of 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if scientific reports published by a credible institution (such as NASA, the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or a peer-reviewed scientific journal) confirm that Jakobshavn Glacier has reached a critical tipping point by December 31, 2027. The tipping point is defined as a significant and sustained acceleration in the glacier's melt rate leading to irreversible retreat.
Will Africa's clean energy fund reach $2.5 billion in financing by the end of 2028?
This market resolves to Yes if definitive data or a major international climate authority confirms that global carbon emissions have peaked and started to decline before January 1, 2029. The data must be widely recognized and reported in respected climate science publications or by organizations like the United Nations or the International Energy Agency.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.