Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Politics Markets

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

42% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official government sources or reliable international news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC) confirm that Péter Magyar's administration has formally introduced a bill to restructure Hungary's governance by replacing the presidency with an alternative system (e.g., parliamentary-only or a ceremonial head of state) on or before September 30, 2026. If no such bill is confirmed by this date, this market resolves to No.

40% chance

Will the U.S.-China trade deal be finalized by September 2026?

55%chance 15 today
Ends Sep 30

This market resolves to Yes if Jeanine Pirro resigns from her position as U.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia on or before October 1, 2026. If she remains in her position past this date, the market resolves to No.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate approves the sanctions bill before the end of October 1, 2026. The bill must pass with a majority vote and be documented in the official records by this date.

60% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) announces a decision to eliminate the 30-year-old program providing affordable and reliable internet connections for schools and libraries by October 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if at least one of the Republican challengers, Michael LiPetri Jr. in New York's 3rd Congressional District or Jeanine Driscoll in the 4th Congressional District, wins their respective elections on November 3, 2026, presumably influenced by Trump's recent visit.

40% chance

Will Susan Collins win the Maine Senate seat in the 2026 elections?

50%chance 3 today
Ends Nov 4

This market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party retains a majority in the U.S. Senate following the November 2026 elections, as publicly confirmed by at least two credible sources such as major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, CNN, or BBC).

55% chanceSponsored

This market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in the Wisconsin State Senate as a result of the 2026 election. Official election results will confirm the resolution.

55% chance

Showing 1-24 of 47 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.