Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Crypto Markets

This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or a Trump-affiliated organization officially announces the launch of a new cryptocurrency token on or before September 30, 2026. To qualify, the announcement must be made through an official Trump Organization communication channel (e.g., press release, social media, or official website) or in a publicly available financial disclosure. The token must be distinct from any pre-existing tokens associated with Trump or his businesses, such as $TRUMP. External independent reporting is not sufficient unless corroborated by official Trump Organization communication.

58% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange, is officially granted a full European banking license by September 30, 2026. Confirmation must be reported by an official regulatory entity, Kraken itself, or credible global news outlets. If no such confirmation is available by the close date, the market resolves to No.

70% chance

Will the Clarity Act be signed into law by the end of Q3 2026?

50%chance 8 today
Ends Sep 30

Will Bitcoin surpass $80,000 by October 2026?

50%chance 8 today
Ends Oct 1

This market resolves to Yes if the Crypto Clarity Act, strongly endorsed by President Trump, is passed by Congress on or before November 1, 2026. The act is expected to have significant implications for the crypto market. If no official congressional passage is announced by this date, the market resolves to No.

60% chance

Will Pepeto be listed on a tier-1 exchange by November 30, 2026?

60%chance 9 today
Ends Nov 30

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) closes above $80,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange on December 31, 2026. The closing price will be determined based on the last recorded price on Coinbase or Binance at 23:59 UTC on that date.

50% chance

Will Bitcoin reach or exceed $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

50%chance 1 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if, according to CoinMarketCap or a comparable cryptocurrency market data provider, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds $1.5 trillion at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Market data will be verified by multiple reputable sources for accuracy.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly acknowledged event where Bitcoin's cryptographic security is verified as compromised by quantum computing technology.

Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $10 on any reputable crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The final price will be considered on a closing basis at the end of the day in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.

50% chance

Will Pepeto reach a market cap of $50 million by the end of 2026?

50%chance 8 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $50,000 on any respected crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The resolution source will be CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or another major exchange as necessary.

50% chance

Showing 1-24 of 42 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.