Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Financials Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut any time before or during Q3 2026. The official announcement must be reported by a credible financial news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if Google, or its parent company Alphabet, announces the acquisition of a major AI and crypto-powered insurance brokerage firm by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. An official press release or a credible news source must confirm the acquisition for the market to resolve to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if the S&P 500 index closes at a level above 7,000 on the last trading day of 2026. It uses the official closing value published by the New York Stock Exchange for December 31, 2026. If December 31 is not a trading day, the resolution will use the closing value of the next trading day.
This market resolves to Yes if Crypto.com receives full and unconditional approval for a national trust bank charter from U.S. regulators by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements from Crypto.com or U.S. regulatory authorities.
This market resolves to Yes if PayPal publicly announces that it has agreed to a formal takeover or acquisition deal with another company by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be made on PayPal's official website, press release, or a major financial news outlet.
This market resolves to Yes if Silverflow publicly announces a valuation of at least $250 million by December 31, 2026. Verification must come from a credible financial news source or company press release.
Will Hub Group restate financials for any quarter of 2026 by the end of 2026?
Will Hub Group's financial restatement result in a regulatory fine by December 2026?
Will Vinfast achieve its projected global electric scooter sales growth of 20% in 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.