Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Crypto Markets

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $100,000 on any recognized exchange platform at any point before or on December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC. This market resolves to No if it does not reach $100,000 by that time.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin reaches or surpasses $100,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange by the end of December 31, 2026. Price verification will be based on data from recognized exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.

49% chance

Will Bitcoin surpass $100,000 USD by December 31, 2026?

59%chance 4 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if Bitcoin's price exceeds $100,000 at any point before or on December 31, 2026, based on verified data from major exchanges like Coinbase or Binance.

45% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the total value of crypto-backed mortgages (using Bitcoin or USDC as collateral) issued by Better Home & Finance, tied to Fannie Mae-backed mortgages, exceeds $100 million by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official financial reports or statements released by Better Home & Finance or reputable financial news sources.

55% chance

Will Pepeto surpass $20 million in presale capital by the end of 2026?

50%chance 15 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if the SEC publicly announces and implements new regulations specifically targeting cryptocurrencies linked to Trump-affiliated projects by December 31, 2026. Public announcements must come directly from the SEC through official channels. General cryptocurrency regulations that do not specifically mention Trump-linked projects will not qualify for a 'Yes' outcome.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Science sector.

50% chance

Will Bitcoin exceed $138k in 2027?

50%chance 10 today
Ends Mar 10, 2027

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if reported global crypto money-laundering activities, as published by a reputable source like Chainalysis, exceed $90 billion for the year 2026. Verification needs to be from data or reports released within the first quarter of 2027. The estimation must come from recognized blockchain analysis firms or credible financial institutions.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Tech sector.

50% chance

Automated predictive market for Science sector.

50% chance

Will Bitcoin exceed $258k in 2027?

50%chance 2 today
Ends Jul 28, 2027

Automated predictive market for Politics sector.

50% chance

Showing 25-42 of 42 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.