Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if by July 31, 2026, a major health organization such as the World Health Organization (WHO) or the American Gastroenterological Association (AGA) officially recommends a fasting-mimicking diet as a management strategy for Crohn's disease. Announcements must be from official publications or announcements verified by these organizations.

This market resolves to Yes if new fossil evidence of complex life from the Ediacaran period (approximately 635 million to 539 million years ago) is reported by reputable scientific journals or institutions by December 31, 2026. The discovery should involve new sites or fossil findings indicating complex life forms existed during this time, not previously known or documented.

This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.

This market resolves to Yes if any major technology company (e.g., Google, Meta, or Oracle) officially announces a workforce reduction of over 5,000 employees directly attributed to increases in productivity from AI implementations by December 31, 2026. The announcement must explicitly mention AI-driven productivity as a primary reason for the layoffs.

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any prominent AI tool used for interpreting patient medical records becomes officially recognized as HIPAA-compliant. Verification will be based on public announcements from a recognized regulatory body or a statement from the tool developer confirming HIPAA compliance.