Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) publicly announces new guidelines specifically aimed at exercise for adults aged 65 and older by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be reported by a credible health or governmental news source.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, as a result of the lawsuit Disney filed against the FCC, there is any official change announced regarding the renewal process of Disney's station licenses. It resolves to No if no such change is announced before that date.
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Will Hub Group restate financials for any quarter of 2026 by the end of 2026?
Will Jared Isaacman announce a formal collaboration with a European space agency by the end of 2026?
Will any S&P 500 company achieve a CDP 'A' rating in Climate Action for the first time by December 2026?
Will Savannah Guthrie remain co-anchor of 'Today' through December 2026?
Will Microsoft's new glass data storage method be publicly demonstrated by the end of 2026?
Will a prototype quantum compass using phonon lasers be publicly demonstrated by December 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Apple officially releases a MacBook Pro model with a two-stack tandem OLED display before December 31, 2026. This confirmation must come directly from Apple through a press release, official product announcement, or detailed product specifications on Apple's official website.
Will references to individuals in the Epstein Files surpass 10 million by the end of 2026?
Will the NSF reverse its recent grant reduction decision by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
Will Google's Gemini 3 surpass GPT-4 in benchmark tests by the end of 2026?
Will the lawsuit against Netflix and 50 Cent regarding the Diddy docuseries be settled by December 31, 2026?
Will the Kansas City school policy lawsuit be resolved in favor of the plaintiffs by December 31, 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.