Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will 'American Blue' be picked up by another network by December 31, 2026?
Will News Corp complete an acquisition of a major digital real estate company by the end of 2026?
Will Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi implement her proposed tax cuts by the end of 2026?
Will Insight Health successfully scale its clinical AI agents by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the lawsuit filed by the coalition of minority-owned bodegas and supermarkets results in stopping, invalidating, or indefinitely delaying the NYC plan to build city-run grocery stores before December 31, 2026. Any court decision or settlement that prevents the stores from being established by this date will constitute a 'Yes' outcome.
This market resolves to Yes if the Durham Arts Council receives a single grant worth more than $500,000 by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements or releases from Durham Arts Council and confirmed by reputable news sources.
50% chanceWill the US ban on institutional investors buying single-family homes come into effect by December 2026?
Will any major foreign company publicly announce its relocation of headquarters to the US by the end of 2026?
Will the next-gen Xbox console be officially announced by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the S&P 500 index closes at a level above 7,000 on the last trading day of 2026. It uses the official closing value published by the New York Stock Exchange for December 31, 2026. If December 31 is not a trading day, the resolution will use the closing value of the next trading day.
This market resolves to Yes if global cloud infrastructure spending reaches or exceeds $500 billion for the entire year of 2026, according to a recognized industry report or analyst like Omdia, by the end of 2026. Given recent trends and spending patterns, this prediction accounts for an expected growth of 27% from 2025.
This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.
This market resolves to Yes if Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU, developed on the RISC-V architecture, is commercially deployed in any AI application by December 31, 2026. Commercial deployment should be confirmed through official announcements by Alibaba or relevant industry reports.
Will Savannah Guthrie remain co-anchor of 'Today' through December 2026?
Will Ocean Ledger's coastal erosion model be adopted by a major global insurer by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the 'Sesame Street' movie, produced by Netflix, is officially reported as the platform's most-streamed film for the month of its release based on Netflix's rankings or reputable third-party metrics (e.g., FlixPatrol). Otherwise, it resolves to 'No.'
Will Oracle successfully raise at least $45 billion by the end of 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.