Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if researchers publicly announce the detection of dark matter particles using the new ultra-sensitive quantum sensor by July 31, 2026. The detection must be reported in a reputable scientific journal or by a major scientific organization.

30% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Amgen’s rare disease drug is not withdrawn from the Japanese market by July 15, 2026, either due to regulatory action or the company's decision in response to the recent safety concerns.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if 'Grand Theft Auto 6' is officially released on November 19, 2026, as stated by Take-Two. This will be verified through Rockstar Games' official announcement or upon availability in major game retailers.

Ends Nov 19

Will the Senate Health Committee Chair be Roger Marshall by January 15, 2027?

60%chance 2 today
Ends Jan 14, 2027

This market resolves to Yes if, by July 31, 2026, it is officially reported that the Trump administration has reclassified over 100 roles in the health department, removing civil service protections as outlined in their latest workforce strategy.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Google publicly announces the integration of AI agents capable of making payments on behalf of users within the Universal Cart platform by September 1, 2026. Public announcements may include press releases, product launch events, or updates on Google's official blog or website.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Munetaka Murakami hits at least one home run during the White Sox's next game against the Chicago Cubs, which is part of the ongoing Crosstown Classic series. Murakami recently broke a homerless streak with a two-run homer. The next game date will be announced according to the official MLB schedule.

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if an official scientific body or journal recognizes or classifies the new 'alien' crystal found in trinitite, resulting from the 1945 nuclear bomb test, by July 31, 2026. This recognition should be published in a peer-reviewed journal or announced by a recognized scientific body.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the anime 'The World’s Strongest Witch' officially premieres by October 31, 2026. The premiere date will be confirmed through an official announcement from the anime's production company or a reputable media source.

Ends Oct 31

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