Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.

30% chance
F
Family Members40%
P
Philanthropic Organizations35%
S
She's Alive LLC20%
Other Entities or Trusts5%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if Tesla announces the completion of a merger with either SpaceX or xAI by December 31, 2026. Official announcements from Tesla or regulatory filings will be used to determine the resolution of this market.

50% chance
D
Disney35%
C
Comcast32%
W
WBD28%
T
Two or more tie5%
4 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Fever publicly announces a new major partnership with a global entertainment brand (e.g., a well-known entity in sports, film, music, art, gaming, or cultural events) by December 31, 2026. The partnership must be officially confirmed via an official announcement from Fever or the partner organization. Existing partnerships, such as those listed in the news (e.g., Formula 1, Netflix, FIFA Arab Cup), do not qualify as 'new' for the purposes of this market.

70% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Australian Bureau of Statistics reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in any of their reports by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

50% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if Disney's lawsuit against the FCC regarding the early renewal order for its station licenses is resolved in Disney's favor by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

40% chance
L
Las Vegas Movie-Themed Weddings35%
W
WWE-Themed Weddings25%
A
Asian Cultural Weddings20%
C
Culinary Experience Weddings15%
Other/None of these5%
5 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if a major video game publisher publicly announces that a new game will feature entirely AI-generated content with no human involvement in its creation by December 31, 2026. The game must be backed by a well-known publisher such as EA, Ubisoft, or Activision, and the announcement must be verified by credible sources.

50% chance

Will at least two US states implement hospital price caps by the end of 2026?

55%chance▼ 11 today
Ends Jan 1, 2027

Showing 337-360 of 619 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.