Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Active Markets

Will the AMOC show definitive signs of collapse by the end of 2026?

30%chance▲ 9 today
Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if a credible and widely recognized source, such as a major tech publication or an industry report, confirms that Google DeepMind's AI models match or exceed the performance of comparable models from OpenAI by December 31, 2026.

35% chance
T
The Guardian25%
T
The Wall Street Journal20%
F
Financial Times20%
N
None of these20%
R
Reuters15%
5 outcomes

This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, any U.S. federal or state government entity, university, or recognized research institution announces a study specifically focused on assessing the impact of restricted access to contraception on the rate of teen pregnancies.

55% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes a bill focused on reforming financial regulations related to political entities or activities, including campaign finance or lobbying, by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official congressional records and credible news sources.

Ends Dec 31

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by the Mexican government or relevant cultural authorities regarding a new national museum exhibition dedicated to the recently discovered Zapotec tomb and its artifacts by December 31, 2026. The exhibition must be officially scheduled or opened to the public by this date.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate Committee on Indian Affairs, after the roundtable discussion on August 4, 2026, proposes any new regulations specifically targeting prediction markets by the end of 2026. A proposal is considered valid if it is documented in the public congressional records.

45% chance

This market resolves to 'Yes' if the 'Sesame Street' movie, produced by Netflix, is officially reported as the platform's most-streamed film for the month of its release based on Netflix's rankings or reputable third-party metrics (e.g., FlixPatrol). Otherwise, it resolves to 'No.'

40% chance

This market resolves to Yes if the price of 1 Bitcoin reaches $100,000 or higher at any point on or before December 31, 2026. The price will be verified using CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin price index.

50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if global cloud infrastructure spending reaches or exceeds $500 billion for the entire year of 2026, according to a recognized industry report or analyst like Omdia, by the end of 2026. Given recent trends and spending patterns, this prediction accounts for an expected growth of 27% from 2025.

58% chance

Showing 313-336 of 619 markets

What Ravioli is

Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.

A price is a probability

Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.

Free credits, real prizes

You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.

How markets resolve

Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.

Common questions

Is any real money involved?
No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
What are Debates?
A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.