Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Will the Bank of Japan raise interest rates by at least 0.25% by July 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Bank of Japan announces an interest rate hike of at least 0.25% from its current level by July 31, 2026. The source for confirmation will be an official announcement from the Bank of Japan or reliable financial news outlets.

This market resolves to Yes if a 100-year flood event, as defined by hydrological standards, occurs in Southern Africa in 2026 and is linked to climate change factors. Verification will be based on reports from reputable sources, such as the World Meteorological Organization or peer-reviewed scientific studies.

This market resolves to Yes if reported global crypto money-laundering activities, as published by a reputable source like Chainalysis, exceed $90 billion for the year 2026. Verification needs to be from data or reports released within the first quarter of 2027. The estimation must come from recognized blockchain analysis firms or credible financial institutions.

This market resolves to Yes if the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts officially reopens following its two-year reconstruction project by or before July 31, 2028. Verification will be based on an official announcement or news report confirming the reopening.

Will Alibaba's Zhenwu 810E AI chip be used by a non-Chinese company by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.

This market resolves to Yes if the Federal Reserve announces an interest rate cut any time before or during Q3 2026. The official announcement must be reported by a credible financial news outlet.

Will the Zapotec tomb discovery lead to a new national museum exhibition in Mexico by the end of 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if an official announcement is made by the Mexican government or relevant cultural authorities regarding a new national museum exhibition dedicated to the recently discovered Zapotec tomb and its artifacts by December 31, 2026. The exhibition must be officially scheduled or opened to the public by this date.