Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will a US-based institution face enforcement action under the new MiCA regulation by July 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
This market resolves to Yes if a significant public controversy involving a leading tech figure (like a CEO, prominent developer, or industry influencer) regarding AI occurs by July 15, 2026. The controversy must attract widespread media coverage and be directly related to AI uses or policies.
This market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is formally nominated as the Republican candidate for the midterm elections by the Republican National Committee or its equivalent by August 1, 2026. The resolution will rely on official announcements from the Republican National Committee or verified major news sources.
Will Amazon roll out its next-generation warehouse robot in Europe by June 30, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA publicly reports a notable improvement in the groundwater levels of the Brazilian aquifers mentioned in the recent NASA Science report by the closing date.
Will the 'living bandage' be publicly announced as ready for clinical trials by July 15, 2026?
Will Mayor O'Connell's proposal to move the Nashville top entertainment post under his office pass by July 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if NASA's Juno mission publishes new findings about cosmic ray origins in a peer-reviewed journal or press release by August 4, 2026. The announcement must clearly state new evidence or significant insights regarding cosmic ray formation relative to the recent news.
Will the US Coast Guard find missing American Lynette Hooker by July 15, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if SpaceX's Starlink division is publicly reported by reputable financial news sources to have a valuation of $50 billion or more by July 15, 2026. Key sources will include financial news outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, or SEC filings if SpaceX is publicly listed by that time.
Will NASA's Juno mission discover new sources of cosmic rays near Jupiter by July 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a significant public policy change (federal or state law) aimed at protecting bees and addressing factors such as pesticide use or habitat destruction is enacted in the United States by September 30, 2026.
Will Nicolas Cage's 'Spider-Noir' series receive a renewal announcement by July 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a legal challenge is filed against the CMS Medicaid work requirement rule by July 31, 2026. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) recently issued a new rule allowing states to implement work requirements for Medicaid recipients. Legal challenges to such regulations have occurred historically, and this market speculates whether a challenge will be filed regarding this specific rule by the specified date.