Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
50% chanceWill a major U.S. state sue another Big Tech company over child safety concerns by the end of 2026?
Will NASA announce a new detailed finding about Jupiter's core by the end of 2026?
Will Apple maintain its workforce stability through 2026 despite AI industry volatility?
This market resolves to Yes if a full-length animated short (more than 10 minutes) produced through Disney's collaboration with TikTok creators is publicly released by December 31, 2026. If no such short is released by that date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Alibaba's XuanTie C950 CPU, developed on the RISC-V architecture, is commercially deployed in any AI application by December 31, 2026. Commercial deployment should be confirmed through official announcements by Alibaba or relevant industry reports.
This market resolves to Yes if the total value of crypto-backed mortgages (using Bitcoin or USDC as collateral) issued by Better Home & Finance, tied to Fannie Mae-backed mortgages, exceeds $100 million by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official financial reports or statements released by Better Home & Finance or reputable financial news sources.
Will the US Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged through 2026?
Will 'American Blue' be picked up by another network by December 31, 2026?
Will the 'Secure Water Arizona Program' be officially implemented by December 31, 2026?
Will the US build-to-rent housing sector see a 10% increase in new development projects by December 2026?
Will a prototype quantum compass using phonon lasers be publicly demonstrated by December 2026?
Will Bruce Springsteen's 2026 Tour become a top 5 global tour by revenue by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the daily closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $50,000 on any respected crypto exchange by December 31, 2026. The resolution source will be CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or another major exchange as necessary.
50% chanceWill genetically modified hookworms be used in a human clinical trial by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a 100-year flood event, as defined by hydrological standards, occurs in Southern Africa in 2026 and is linked to climate change factors. Verification will be based on reports from reputable sources, such as the World Meteorological Organization or peer-reviewed scientific studies.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.