Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
This market resolves to Yes if TVS Motor Company publicly announces that it has reached 6 million global sales of the TVS HLX series by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from an official source such as a press release or company earnings call.
50% chanceWill Apple release a folding iPhone in 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) closes above $80,000 on any major cryptocurrency exchange on December 31, 2026. The closing price will be determined based on the last recorded price on Coinbase or Binance at 23:59 UTC on that date.
Will a premier soccer game be held at Lambeau Field by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, according to CoinMarketCap or a comparable cryptocurrency market data provider, the total market capitalization of Bitcoin exceeds $1.5 trillion at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Market data will be verified by multiple reputable sources for accuracy.
Will the PACE Satellite detect a new significant air pollution source in a major city by the end of 2026?
Will Mutuum Finance (MUTM) reach Phase 10 pricing tier by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if Oscar Health's stock price is greater than $12 at market close on December 31, 2026. Oscar Health has been making significant strides in healthcare innovation despite financial losses, impacting its stock performance. This market evaluates the ability of Oscar Health to maintain its stock price amid ongoing challenges and opportunities in the healthcare sector.
This market resolves to Yes if major tech companies (e.g., Meta, Google) officially report a significant impact on their revenues due to the new Australian tech levy in their earnings or official statements by the specified date. A significant impact is defined as an official acknowledgment in earnings calls or statements that the levy materially affected their reported revenue.
This market resolves to Yes if Google, or its parent company Alphabet, announces the acquisition of a major AI and crypto-powered insurance brokerage firm by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026. An official press release or a credible news source must confirm the acquisition for the market to resolve to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if the total value of crypto-backed mortgages (using Bitcoin or USDC as collateral) issued by Better Home & Finance, tied to Fannie Mae-backed mortgages, exceeds $100 million by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official financial reports or statements released by Better Home & Finance or reputable financial news sources.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) issues a formal antitrust complaint against the merger of Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) and Paramount by the end of December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on official announcements or documents confirming the filing of such a complaint. This market acknowledges DOJ's intensified probe as reported by multiple sources.
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the European Union has officially imposed profit caps or windfall taxes on energy companies, as proposed by some European finance ministers due to surging oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing conflict in Iran.
This market resolves to Yes if the Durham Arts Council receives a single grant worth more than $500,000 by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official announcements or releases from Durham Arts Council and confirmed by reputable news sources.
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.