Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
Will Apple exceed expectations with its M6 chip performance benchmarks by December 2026?
Will any major foreign company publicly announce its relocation of headquarters to the US by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the Australian Bureau of Statistics reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in any of their reports by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if global spending on cloud infrastructure services exceeds $500 billion by the end of 2026, according to industry reports or reliable public financial data on cloud spending.
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly acknowledged event where Bitcoin's cryptographic security is verified as compromised by quantum computing technology.
Will the AI-discovered natural molecule be approved for weight loss treatment by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a confirmed meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un occurs by December 31, 2026, as reported by at least two credible news sources. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This market resolves to Yes if official reports by December 31, 2026, show a substantial reduction in the invasive blue crab population due to the octopus release experiment off Italy's Adriatic coast.
This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Congress passes legislation to repeal the future Medicaid spending cuts as outlined in recent debates, by December 31, 2026.
50% chanceThis market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
This market resolves to Yes if Instagram completely stops using the PG-13 rating reference in its posts, as per their agreement with the Motion Picture Association, by December 31, 2026. The decision will be based on an official statement from Meta or confirmation from a reliable media source.
This market resolves to Yes if the lawsuit filed by the coalition of minority-owned bodegas and supermarkets results in stopping, invalidating, or indefinitely delaying the NYC plan to build city-run grocery stores before December 31, 2026. Any court decision or settlement that prevents the stores from being established by this date will constitute a 'Yes' outcome.
Will the next Fast and Furious movie be officially canceled due to budget concerns by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if the construction of the 62-mile section of the international border wall on the Tohono O'odham Nation reservation is completed by the end of 2026, as reported by reputable news outlets or official government announcements.
This market resolves to Yes if any company outside of China publicly announces the usage or deployment of Alibaba's T-Head Zhenwu 810E AI chip by December 31, 2026. The announcement must come from a reputable source or the company in question.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Senate Committee on Indian Affairs, after the roundtable discussion on August 4, 2026, proposes any new regulations specifically targeting prediction markets by the end of 2026. A proposal is considered valid if it is documented in the public congressional records.
Will a federal US initiative to address snow droughts be announced by 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.