Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Active Markets
This market resolves to 'Yes' if the U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services announces new federal guidelines specifically targeting midwifery care by December 31, 2026. The guidelines must be focused on the practice and regulation of midwifery at a federal level. Any announcement made after this date will not be considered.
This market resolves to Yes if the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) publicly announces new guidelines specifically aimed at exercise for adults aged 65 and older by December 31, 2026. The announcement must be reported by a credible health or governmental news source.
Will Novartis announce at least one new therapeutic antibody developed using Chai Discovery’s AI by December 31, 2026?
Will Jared Isaacman announce a formal collaboration with a European space agency by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if global spending on cloud infrastructure services exceeds $500 billion by the end of 2026, according to industry reports or reliable public financial data on cloud spending.
This market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Congress passes legislation to repeal the future Medicaid spending cuts as outlined in recent debates, by December 31, 2026.
Will NASA announce a new detailed finding about Jupiter's core by the end of 2026?
Will Google's Gemini 3 surpass GPT-4 in benchmark tests by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if by December 31, 2026, a major pharmaceutical company publicly announces the development of a new drug that involved the use of quantum chemistry software such as EXESS in its design or discovery. Confirmation must come from a press release or an equivalent formal announcement from the company.
Will Apple maintain its workforce stability through 2026 despite AI industry volatility?
This market resolves to Yes if the European Commission officially announces a financial penalty against X for violations related to Grok AI's functionalities, including the generation of sexually explicit images, under the Digital Services Act by December 31, 2026. The resolution is based on public announcements or official documents from the European Commission. This market resolves to No if no such fine is announced by the deadline.
This market resolves to Yes if Fever publicly announces a new major partnership with a global entertainment brand (e.g., a well-known entity in sports, film, music, art, gaming, or cultural events) by December 31, 2026. The partnership must be officially confirmed via an official announcement from Fever or the partner organization. Existing partnerships, such as those listed in the news (e.g., Formula 1, Netflix, FIFA Arab Cup), do not qualify as 'new' for the purposes of this market.
Will the 2027 MLS All-Star Week include a corporate meeting program tied to professional sports?
Will 'American Blue' be picked up by another network by December 31, 2026?
What Ravioli is
Ravioli is a free-to-play prediction market. You trade shares on real-world questions across sports, politics, and culture using free credits, and the price of a share is the crowd's live estimate that the outcome happens. Nothing here costs money, and the prizes are real.
A price is a probability
Every market trades between 0 and 100 cents a share. A share priced at 62c means the crowd puts the outcome at roughly 62 percent, and it moves as people trade. Read the number and you have the current consensus without wading through opinions.
Free credits, real prizes
You trade with Sense, the in-app currency. It is free, there is nothing to deposit, and it cannot be exchanged for cash. What you win is redeemable in the shop for gift cards and merch, so being right pays without anyone risking money.
How markets resolve
Sports markets settle against the official box score. Everything else resolves against cited sources, verified with live web search before payout. Winning shares pay 100 Sense each and settle straight into your balance.
Common questions
- Is any real money involved?
- No. There is no deposit, no wallet, and no crypto. Accounts start with free Sense and you can earn more through daily rewards and streaks. Sense never converts back to cash.
- How is this different from Kalshi or Polymarket?
- Same mechanics, none of the money. You get an order book, an automated market maker, and multi-outcome markets, but you play with free credits and compete for prizes instead of a payout in dollars.
- What are Debates?
- A second mode alongside the markets. You pick a side, write an argument, and AI scores the reasoning on fact-checking, relevance, and logic. Scores stay hidden until the debate resolves so nobody can copy a winning take.
Or see every open market, the debates, who is winning, or the full mechanics and scoring rules on the about page.