Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

This market resolves to Yes if the FDA officially revokes its authorization for the sale of fruit-flavored e-cigarettes by July 31, 2026, based on publicly accessible FDA statements or actions.

Will the Israeli Health Ministry introduce new smoking legislation by August 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Israeli Health Ministry introduces new legislation regarding smoking or nicotine use by August 31, 2026. The resolution will follow an official announcement or media report confirming the introduction of such legislation.

Will the Israeli Health Ministry advance significant anti-smoking legislation by July 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if the Israeli Health Ministry formally advances any significant legislative measures specifically aimed at reducing smoking rates by July 31, 2026. This includes, but is not limited to, introducing bills or amendments in the Knesset that address cigarette or e-cigarette use.

This market resolves to Yes if Major League Baseball player Mike Trout is officially traded to the Atlanta Braves by the July 31, 2026 MLB trade deadline, as publicly confirmed by reputable sources such as MLB.com or the Braves' official announcements.

This market resolves to Yes if the Bonnaroo Festival is officially canceled or postponed in 2026 due to safety concerns, such as security threats or incidents similar to the recent festival shooting in Ohio. The resolution will be based on official announcements from the Bonnaroo organizers or authoritative news reports.

This market resolves to Yes if any credible scientific source reports an experimental verification of a naked singularity by July 31, 2026. Reports must be published in peer-reviewed journals or announced by recognized institutions.