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This market resolves to 'Yes' if a public concert event, unrelated to events currently announced (e.g., the Ward 1 Mutual Aid Benefit Show on September 30, 2026), occurs on the National Mall by December 31, 2026. The concert must feature live musical performances, be open to the public, and be held at a National Mall location between the Washington Monument and the U.S. Capitol. Events already announced or scheduled as of September 28, 2026, are excluded. Reliable reporting or an official announcement must confirm validation of the event for resolution purposes.
This market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Current's stadium expansion to accommodate 18,000 seats is completed by December 31, 2027, according to official announcements or verified reports from reputable sources. If the expansion is not completed or officially abandoned by that date, the market resolves to No.
This market resolves to Yes if Manchester United officially announces the signing of Alejandro Balde from Barcelona on or before January 31, 2027. The resolution will rely on official announcements from either Manchester United, Barcelona, or credible media sources.
This market resolves to Yes if the International Team is announced as the winner of the next Presidents Cup currently scheduled for 2028. The market resolves to No if the United States Team wins or the match ends in a tie. Public announcements or official documentation of results by the tournament organizers will determine the outcome.
Will the East Coast Nor’easter result in at least $1 billion in insured damages by October 5, 2026?
About this market
This market resolves to Yes if publicly available insurance industry reports, reputable news sources, or government agencies confirm that insured damages caused by the current East Coast Nor’easter total $1 billion USD or more by October 5, 2026. The market resolves to No if the confirmed insured damages fall below that threshold. Damage assessments include flooding, wind damage, and other storm-related impacts on property, vehicles, and businesses. Estimates and projections published after October 5, 2026, will not be considered.
Rules
- Market closes at 10/5/2026.
- Logic weighted resolution applies.
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Will another public concert take place on the National Mall by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a public concert event, unrelated to events currently announced (e.g., the Ward 1 Mutual Aid Benefit Show on September 30, 2026), occurs on the National Mall by December 31, 2026. The concert must feature live musical performances, be open to the public, and be held at a National Mall location between the Washington Monument and the U.S. Capitol. Events already announced or scheduled as of September 28, 2026, are excluded. Reliable reporting or an official announcement must confirm validation of the event for resolution purposes.
Will the KC Current's stadium expansion to 18,000 seats be completed by December 31, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Current's stadium expansion to accommodate 18,000 seats is completed by December 31, 2027, according to official announcements or verified reports from reputable sources. If the expansion is not completed or officially abandoned by that date, the market resolves to No.
Will Manchester United sign Alejandro Balde from Barcelona by January 31, 2027?
This market resolves to Yes if Manchester United officially announces the signing of Alejandro Balde from Barcelona on or before January 31, 2027. The resolution will rely on official announcements from either Manchester United, Barcelona, or credible media sources.
Will the International Team win the next Presidents Cup in 2028?
This market resolves to Yes if the International Team is announced as the winner of the next Presidents Cup currently scheduled for 2028. The market resolves to No if the United States Team wins or the match ends in a tie. Public announcements or official documentation of results by the tournament organizers will determine the outcome.
Will a 3D-printed home model from the 2026 Innovative Housing Showcase be featured in a major U.S. architecture magazine by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a home model featuring 3D-printed construction that was exhibited at the 2026 Innovative Housing Showcase is featured in a major U.S. architecture magazine (such as 'Architectural Digest', 'Dwell', or 'Architect Magazine') by December 31, 2026. A feature must include at least one photo or extended discussion of the 3D-printed home model and acknowledge it as part of the Showcase. If no such feature is published by the deadline, the market resolves to No.
Which geopolitical stock will outperform the Euro Stoxx 50 Index over Q4 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59 PM