Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates
Politics Markets
This market resolves to Yes if the US House of Representatives passes a bill focused on reforming financial regulations related to political entities or activities, including campaign finance or lobbying, by December 31, 2026. Verification will be based on official congressional records and credible news sources.
Will Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi implement her proposed tax cuts by the end of 2026?
49% chanceWill Rep. Andy Ogles' immigration overhaul bill pass the House by December 31, 2026?
Will the New York State legislature pass a bill to allow non-citizens to vote in municipal elections by the end of 2026?
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a 2028 presidential bid by the end of 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if, by December 31, 2026, the US Congress passes and the President signs into law any new legislative measures explicitly restricting the President's war powers over military operations. The market resolves to No if no such law is enacted by the given date.
Will Canada maintain its supply management provisions in the CUSMA review by December 31, 2026?
This market resolves to Yes if a new tariff policy is passed by both houses of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the President by December 31, 2026. The policy must specify new tariff structures or rates different from those existing as of February 23, 2026.
Will the United States and Iran finalize a new nuclear agreement by December 31, 2026?
Will Iran and the US reach a new nuclear agreement by December 31, 2026?
Will the India-US trade deal result in increased American agricultural exports to India by the end of 2026?
Will a far-right candidate reach the second round of the 2027 French presidential election?
This market resolves to Yes if the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts officially reopens following its two-year reconstruction project by or before July 31, 2028. Verification will be based on an official announcement or news report confirming the reopening.
